Actually the current situation is pretty crazy.
Puigdemont KINDA declared the independence. As usual, things were far from being clear, the were not exactly what they looked. In an attempt presumably of avoiding legal consequences, he didn’t declared the independence but he made it sound like, to the point that pretty much everybody understood that the republic of Narnia Catalonia was born, finally. Cellebrations, concerts, people on the street… everything was fun and laughs… for the independentists. The other half of Catalonia was at home, depressed.
This was as a result of the “negotiations” between the central and the local government. The local government of Catalonia was demanding elections, but for deciding what to do (independence VS normality). In addition to that, they were asking for immunity and to release the two leaders of the secessionist movements (Jordi & Jordi), and NO 155. The government said no way and offered normal (regional) elections and NO 155. The local government rejected the offer and decided to go ahead with their independence declaration… in that weird way. A curiosity: the Spanish flag is still in the same place in the local “Govern” headquarter.
Spain applies 155 in a soft way (they decide not to intervene certain things like education and local media), and calls for LOCAL elections for 21st of December.
With those parameters, there were 2 theories:
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there was a private negotiation between Puigdemont and Rajoy: neither of them wanted 155 to be applied, for it would affect the image of both of them. however Rajoy had to do something, and Puigdemont couldn’t “mishear” the independentist claims. As a result, they fake an independence declaration, and they apply a fake 155
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super smart movement of the government: it’s been demonstrated that the secessionists can’t do shit in reality, and by calling for REGIONAL elections the CUP and probably ERC won’t participate, for it would be as very incoherent. Supposedly, to participate in the elections would mean that the Republic of Narnia doesn’t exist and that they still obey Spain’s dictations.
Personally I didn’t believe either theory. Indeed, although everybody expected ERC and CUP parliamentarians to give up their seats in the Spain parliament in Madrid… behold the independentists! they didn’t!!! the reason? well, some of them argued that they still need to use the institutions for fighting for Catalonia, and some others… and read this carefully… some others said that there are still regions of the Paisos Catalans (Catalan Countries) that are still in Spain, and they need to liberate them!. These regions would be Valencia among others. Valencia was back in the day the capital of Spain xD
EVERYBODY in Spain is laughing at the independentism. Even independentists claim that this has been a fucking disaster (you can trust me, I’m not making up anything). However, after decades of manipulation and indoctrination, the supporters of the independence don’t attend to reasons, don’t give a shit about reality (the impossibility of having a nation state, and that their leaders are cheating on them).
The police is doing some investigations, and as a result we have learnt that:
- the Economy division of JuntsPelS’i, from ERC and under the control of Junqueras, knew that the Republic of Narnia wasn’t economically possible at this point. They lied to Puigdemont’s team so that he would declare the republic
- They knew that it was impossible to declare the independence: Grabación alto cargo de Junqueras: cualquiera con dos dedos de cerebro sabe que no se puede proclamar la independencia
Now Puigdemont is in Belgium, lying openly about the situation. The strategy is to associate Catalonia with European values of modernity, democracy, tolerance, progressism, pacifism, etc… and associate Spain with fascism, repression, violence and backwards values. They stress on how pacific and open to dialogue they are and show the World how they ask Spain to negotiate with them. They are distracting the international observers from the fact that they broke Spain’s, Catalonia’s, and their own Parliament’s laws, and that the only thing they want to negotiate is the conditions AFTER they declare their own republic (they would need it because otherwise they would be in serious economical troubles, and outside the EU!!!).
As I said, the independentists are far from giving up. Many are disappointed and many claim that have been cheated, but most of these people won’t give up because they see this as a war against oppression. they have been taught that they are different, special, better, and that Spain won’t let them be themselves. They want independence because they are oppressed, and they are oppressed because they are not independent.
Most of the independentist are blind to reality because they fall in any of these categories:
- plain stupid: they are lied and manipulated by their leaders, and they won’t question them. Even if the explanations are ridiculous
- fanatics: they have strong believes, more elaborated than the stupid, and when reality proves them wrong, they come up with complex theories that come to say that they are still right but everybody hates them and it’s Spain’s fault
- cynics: they don’t care about what’s real what’s not. They mix half truths with lies, and that’s not a moral problem for them because they are at war and they have to defeat their enemy
In the meanwhile, the independentists didn’t get as much international support as they told their people, wired calls made public revealed that they knew that the independence was impossible economically, contrarily to what they told their people, the leader has fled escaping from Justice while he was asking public workers to do strikes and disobey the law… but they have to stay in Spain… will all these things have an important impact on the pro independence base of voters? not as much as many think. I really think that this needs time, and special measures to heal up…