Fox:
I am going to make some pretty harsh comments about the views
represented in your last post, Fox. But I mean to keep this discussion open, even-tempered and non-personal. So, let me preface these comments by saying that I do not think that you are aware of the logical implications of many of these “cut-and-pasted” views from the website you visited. So, when I talk of discrimination and racism, I do not mean to accuse you but to accuse the narrow-minded nature of the views of the “Factors of Production Mobility” once they are taken to their logical conclusion and are scrutinised in the light of more sober, serious analysis by professional economists.
“Companies can now set up their administration centers in London, call
centers in India and manufacturing in China. This is fine for the companies
and skilled labor, but what about the effect on your domestic workforce.”
“Domestic workforce” is of course an exaggeration. It would be more
accurate to ask: "This is fine for the companies and skilled labor, but what about the effect on your domestic UNSKILLED workforce. It is as if, from the point of view of the writer, that SKILLED workers are not part of the domestic workforce. But of course, once you realise the agenda of the writer, you then understand that he has no interest in the skilled worker. He is hell bent on winning the heart and mind of the UNSKILLED WORKER ONLY. The one without union representation. This is a desperate search by a marginal political group for a stable political power base. It causes the writer to neglect the good affects trade has on other peoples, other nations, outside his own chosen constituency of the DOMESTIC UNSKILLED, NON-UNIONISED worker. They are entitled to seek that constituency, of course. However, as free-thinking, critical individuals, we should also ask who this group would be taking wealth from if it was able to affect the redistribution it wants. Fox, you miss the point that being able to move call centres to India and China RAISES wages there! The trouble with this guy’s argument is that it concentrates solely on the affects in one country (HOME) and neglects those on the other country (FOREIGN.) That is why the writer stresses DOMESTIC. To my mind, though, this kind of argument is DISGUSTINGLY RACIST because
the implication is that better pay for unskilled workers abroad does not
count because they are FOREIGN; whereas better pay for HOME unskilled workers does count. I cannot support this kind of view. And, yes, I claim the moral high ground for the free traders.
“And this group is not a small percentage of any of the industrialized
nations. Poverty line studies show that in almost every rich country 15
to 19% of people would be below the poverty line without cross subsidization from governments.”
But, these people are NOT below the poverty line!!! Because of those
subsidies. You are saying that they would be poor if they weren’t
actually not poor. This is a silly argument. But again, you miss the point: you want to argue that globalisation takes money from the poor to give to the rich WITHIN ONE COUNTRY - but even if that were true (which studies suggest it is NOT) the fact of the matter is, however, that when you stop looking within countries and look at the WORLD AS A WHOLE, income inequality is falling on just about every measure. Principally due to growth in China. Now, the anti-Globalisation protesters may think this is bad because it means unskilled wages at HOME are suffering. I say, its good. I won’t discriminate on the basis of race. Unfortunately, the (I assume) Marxist stuff that you quote, “Factors of Production Mobility,” is only aimed at increasing influence within the unskilled, non-unionised domestic labour movement - and only within this particular subsection of workers. The fact that they are so small shows that workers as a whole do not accept their pauper labour theory. The fact that they would take the newfound wealth out of China and transfer it back to the unskilled US workers shows to me that they are cynical and racist.
“Like it or not people feel disenfranchised by globalisation and for a
large % of the population in Western countries they feel that way because
they have been.”
You overstate it. And the failure of the movement to gain mainstream
support, even support within the large trade unions, shows that you are
wrong. The reason you are wrong is that you complain about the plight
of UNSKILLED workers (whose wages have fallen) and ASSUME that is the same as for workers EN MASSE. But it isn’t!!! I am getting tired of having to reinforce this point! In 1979, median weekly earnings were about 61% higher for college graduates compared to those with less than a secondary school education. In 1998, they were was 143% higher. Inequality? Yes! The reason: higher wages for computer engineers and stagnating, even falling, wages for unskilled labour. But AVERAGE wages have RISEN. To quote generally accepted figures (not revised for quality of life improvements) "Between the late 1970s and the early 1990s the real annual compensation of the average American worker rose between 1 and 6 per cent, depending on which price index is used; but the real wages of low-ranked workers like janitors fell 15 per cent or more, while the real earnings of high-end occupations like doctors and corporate executives rose 50 per cent or more (Krugman, www.pkarchive.org “Europe Jobless, America Penniless”). Krugman, in the same article, states the problem quite explicitly: “It is therefore
remarkable that poverty could have increased so much even while the average real income of Americans was continuing to rise.” How can you continue to deny this point? AVERAGE WAGES HAVE RISEN - ONLY WAGES FOR UNSKILLED US WORKERS HAVE FALLEN. Here’s another way of looking at it: average family income has risen since 1973 for the highest-earning 60% of US households, stagnated for about the next 20%, and declined by about 9% for the poorest 20%. (Reflections on
US Labour Market Performance, Lawrence Katz).
But this rising inequality is NOT DUE TO GLOBALISATION!!! (in the
sense of trade in goods). I strongly recommend that you read some careful, scientific economic research on this question instead of copying down second-hand some appallingly biased claptrap. In gias.snu.ac.kr/wthong/IEJ/97spring/s5.pdf, it is shown how
international goods trade actually POSITIVELY IMPACTED average real
wages in the late 80s, precisely the period of greatest retardation in average real wage growth. Then again, read ny.frb.org/rmaghome/econ_pol/195rlaw.pdf to show that
technological factors have caused rising inequality, NOT GLOBALISATION,
and that nevertheless, between 1979 and 1993 average real compensation GREW 5.5%. By the way, the slow rate of average wage growth was due to LOW PRODUCTIVITY. You seem to think that HIGH productivity causes fewer jobs (see below) and declining real wages. The experts and economists would suggest that LOW productivity causes low wages. Which is just common sense, after all. If we make more goods and services, we can consume more goods and services - that is what rising real wages means!!!
And there is another dimension to globalisation and competition for
unskilled wages of which you seem to be unaware. Read this
ksghome.harvard.edu/~.GBorjas.Ac … /frb95.pdf and you will see that one of the reasons for falling wages for unskilled
workers in the US is a large influx of immigrants. Is this what you mean by globalisation? You want to deny a better-paying job to these immigrants? I fight for their rights and against you! There is another interesting point you may like to know: whereas real wages for unskilled males have fallen in the US (1971 -1995); those for unskilled females have risen! So, part of the pressure on unskilled wages is coming from women competing against men. The real truth, here, I believe, is that because manufacturing jobs have been declining in the US ( to be replaced by service jobs) then we have seen a shift in favour of women. Manufacturing jobs tended to be dominated by men; professional, business, and service jobs are more equally split between
men and women. Again, nothing to do with globalisation. (Reflections on US Labour Market Performance, Lawrence Katz).
Add to all this evidence for RISING AVERAGE REAL WAGES, the
common-sense observation that there has bee a great improvement in product innovation and quality that I spoke of in earlier posts and you can see that there is a lot of room for UPWARD REVISIONS in the AVERAGE REAL WAGE DATA. The above figures are achieved by deflating nominal wages by various price indices - but they do not account for new products which are a REAL improvement in wages. For example, how many people had a mobile phone in the 1970s? Now, in places like the UK, penetration rates for mobiles are 70% and more. (By the way, don’t tell me young workers and unskilled workers don’t have mobile phones. I mean, really, Fox, just about everyone has one these days. Particularly the young!!!) That fact alone should show you how limited a number of workers has been impoverished over the last 20 years!
“The WTO has turned the world into one giant market place where capital
is mobile and labor is not. This can only spell great returns for capital
and proportionally less returns to labor. It’s a simple equation really.”
Labour immobile? How do you account for the immigration boom in the US? What you mean is that it is LESS mobile than capital. True. But this is not due to the WTO. Its due to national governments putting up barriers to
immigration. Its also due to language / cultural differences. But is
highly mobile capital a bad thing? High returns to capital in a country
suggest that capital is in scarce supply; unskilled labour predominates. This is obviously the case in places like India. If capital can move to poor,
developing nations like India, it can earn a higher return. It thus raises
income overseas. India has abundant unskilled workers, so it makes sense that unskilled wages would rise in India and fall in places like the
US. But why are the wages of the US worker more important than those of an Indian? Why do you quote the Marxist groups that take this (racist) stance in order to build their power among the (disenfranchised) unskilled labourers of the US? Fox, it is indeed “a simple equation really” - but you don’t even see the implications of your simple equation. Now, either you missed this logic, in which case - OK, no harm done. Or, you saw it all along and just would rather see US workers have better pay at the expense of the Indians. In which case, shame on you!
A technical point: whereas trade may be a THEORETICALLY VALID
explanation of the decline in UNSKILLED US WAGES, it is NOT EMPIRICALLY VALID. International trade is just too small a fraction of the US economy (about 15%) to account for anything but a fraction of the decline in unskilled wages. The real culprit is the rise of technology that has raised the demand for skilled labour. But I have banged on about this for too long already and you still don’t get the point. ITS NOT GLOBALISATION"S FAULT!!! And are you ready to stop technological change in order to restore wage equality?
Allowing capital to move from capital-rich economies to developing
economies, helps, the poor countries to develop and catch-up with the
West. Indeed, it is precisely in the most open developing economies (Asia) that growth has been fastest; and in the more closed ones (Eastern Europe) where it has been slowest - until the awful Berlin Wall came down and they got “GLOBALISED”. So, by all means, protect your small constituency of impoverished US unskilled workers at the expense of growth in the poor nations. I, for one, will not side with the people who build walls.
“As you mentioned improvements in technology have also improved labor
productivity which only means less jo[b]s and more returns to capital
as technology is generally associated with capital.” Fox, this is wrong - it shows an ignorance of economics. The rate of return on capital has nothing to do with the TOTAL NUMBER OF JOBS available.
It has everything to do with the RELATIVE RETURNS TO CAPITAL AND LABOUR. If capital invests overseas, for example China, where it can get a higher return, this will raise profitability (money for the capitalists/shareholders); it will also increase wages overseas as the new investment bids up salaries in Guangdong (money for the poor Chinese). It will put US workers out of a job, but only temporarily - they will go on to new jobs. There is always some new job to be done. If this were not the case, then how could unemployment levels have continued to fall in the US despite increasing trade since the 80s and, even without trade, how could unemployment have continued to fall despite the many corporate bankruptcies that happen in the US every year?
The answer, Fox, is that the level of unemployment (TOTAL NUMBER OF
JOBS) is dependent, not on trade, but largely on monetary policy and the
activity of the entrepreneur. Fox, how on earth could you not have heard of the name Greenspan? The point is that manufacturing jobs have continued to decline in number in the US, but overall job growth has been positive because the laid-off manufacturing workers have shifted into service sector jobs.
There is also the point that higher labour productivity means on average
RISING REAL WAGES. How could it be otherwise? If an economy produces more, it consumes more. (Unless, of course, we just bury all the extra goods and services at the bottom of the ocean.)
“That brings us to the point of who owns the capital most of it of
course is owned by the superrich;…Now you are unrepresented by your
politicians, have no union and no power to cast a vote at General Meetings, because of your piddly few shares”
Or the huge tranches of shares that are controlled by pension funds and
are voted on your behalf. Yes, they are voted to get maximum benefit for
the shareholder - you. But, if you are going to argue for “democratic
control” (government control) of business, Fox, then you must argue for some kind of socialisation of the economy. (But you already professed to supporting capitalism.) And how can someone who thinks capitalism is better than the alternatives support a course of action that would bring it to an end? You are not logical, Fox. Stand up for your beliefs, don’t run away from them.
“You my friend have been subjugated.”
You, my friend, have simply read (uncritically) the rantings of a
marginal anti-capitalist political group that see: declining real wages for the unskilled in the US and declining union representation. They are then
trying to increase their power base within this group by a lot of propaganda that simply doesn’t make sense if you sit down and think about it. Or, if you follow their arguments logically and decide that it does make sense to you, is quite disturbingly racist. But, my dear Fox, if you want to stand on their side in the Anti-globalisation War, if you want to curtail trade, then you must be prepared to take the money out of poor, foreign workers’ pockets. This puts you on the same side not only as the ultra-leftists, but also the ultra-rightist (big business types) who want to “protect” parts of US industry from cheap competition by some third-world firms, and the bigots who believe that those outside the US don’t matter because of the colour of their skin.
I don’t believe for one second that you hold these views yourself. BUT
FOX, WHAT COMPANY YOU KEEP!!!
(edited to remove two typos)