Here’s a book review that came out in April 2006 outlining another Taiwan/China conflict senario. It’s not too long and worth a read if interested. I don’t this this topic has been posted before.
Wendell Minnick’s “The year to fear for Taiwan: 2006”
Michael Turton’s “China Takes Taiwan”
[url=http://tw.forumosa.com/t/consequences-of-a-ccp-takeover/22649/1 of a CCP Takeover[/url] (not worthy as the above two, but my favorite post)
What do I think? If the US attacks Iran (and the chances are likely), then I see China making a move to “Liberate” Taiwan. Not necessarily a destructive attack, more probable a blockade (sea lanes ~ economic/supply chains for manufacturers/oil ~ cyber finance~powerplant takeovers). It could even happen this year. Olympics be damned, Taiwan is more important to them. Its interesting to ponder what Ma will do in this situation. For sure the CCP will put the Vichey KMT back in power. Greens and many others will be sent to the chinese gulags or worst if (big IF) the takeover is successful. How will Ma play his cards? He is pro-unification but anti-ccp. Or will the CCP put a PFP or New Party ass-kisser in charge?