Interesting video [Could Chinese military really invade Taiwan if US was neutral? Part 1/2]

[image] hannes: If anything, the US’s willingness to act military is more of a deterrent to them. A US president reluctant to use the military is more seen as an invitation for them to go ahead and act militarily. I agree. Didn’t the US have two carriers nearby for the last Chinese war games…

[image] RandomName: Trump’s illegal actions, set the stage for China to illegally invade Taiwan with no recourse. The US has lost the moral high ground Not that it ever mattered to the CCP/PLA. But if american forces get involved and start to die, the american government would hypocrites to …

[image] RandomName: They already have the capability If they had the capability to do it with a minimal amount of losses, they probably would. The have the capability to launch an invasion, but not the capability to defeat the US

[image] Mr_PBH: Maybe not just for show, you know? Maybe a bluff, too. TACO!

Taiwan’s government got its ass kicked the last time it was at war with China so maybe that’s a clue as to what would happen if there’s a round two.

[image] QuaSaShao: Taiwan’s government got its ass kicked the last time it was at war with China Wait what? Battle of Guningtou The Battle of Guningtou (古寧頭之役), also known as the Battle of Kuningtou or the Battle of Kinmen (Chinese: 金門戰役), was fought in October 1949 on the isla…

[image] afterspivak: Wait what? Battle of Guningtou - Wikipedia You can win a battle but still lose the war as Taiwan’s forces did.

“Taiwan’s forces” as part of the Japanese empire did lose—to the Americans. Taiwan had almost nothing to do with the KMT’s loss to the CCP, other than being a place the KMT could recklessly loot to enrich themselves and their cronies. Thank god those days are over. Based on your posts so far, it s…

[image] afterspivak: Just give up, don’t even try, it’s hopeless . . . I don’t think anyone is saying that. But it behooves one to have a firm grasp on reality. We might disagree on the facts which is fine but if the facts are unfavorable sticking one’s head in the sand isn’t helpful. There a…

[image] tempogain: I don’t think anyone is saying that. Those are dominant KMT talking points. I hear them all the time: China is too strong, Taiwan is too small, it’s hopeless, we need to cut a deal with Beijing, blah blah blah. I don’t agree with those talking points. Thankfully a large e…

Can China invade Taiwan successfully?

Politics Taiwan Politics

afterspivak January 4, 2026, 5:47am 6570

Wait what?

The commies certainly have a good ground game (except against the Vietnamese who kicked their a&&es), but their success at taking islands is as yet unproven.

Guy

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