Don’t know the guy, but he does seem to have been pretty consistent with the anti-lockdown stuff since 2020:
March 2020: With the economy collapsing, can Britain actually afford to do whatever it takes to defeat this virus?
I have got myself into trouble on social media for making a variation of the following point, so I must choose my words carefully. We are already at a point where the immediate and no doubt lasting economic costs of Covid-19 are out of all proportion to the distress of the disease itself.
April 2020: For and against: should we lift the lockdown to save the economy?
October 2020: Where’s the lockdown exit strategy? Er… there isn’t one
So are we forever to remain incarcerated in a cycle of one lockdown after another? That’s plainly no kind of a sustainable solution. To the extent that the Government has a strategy, it seems to be this; keep on hugging public opinion, which still largely backs the lockdown approach, until it changes. Rising unemployment and a miserable Christmas will bring people to their senses soon enough.
Eventually, the world will have to get used to the presence of Covid. Complete eradication looks unlikely any time soon. So people will just have to learn to adapt their lives around it accordingly.
One thing is for sure; to carry on like this, with one wave of restriction after another, is just slow death by a thousand cuts.
November 2020: On all fronts, Covid is making a fool of our Western democracies
This will take decades to work off, and threatens to eat deep into government expenditure on other things in the event of any appreciable rise in interest rates.
Rewind 40 years to when the extraordinary economic windfall of then bountiful supplies of North Sea oil fell into Britain’s lap. For several decades, this helped plug the hole in the current account and budget deficit, but was otherwise just frittered away, leaving no lasting benefit to speak of.
Well, Covid is the reverse of this good fortune squandered story. The wounds the pandemic is inflicting on the public finances will take decades to heal. There was no lasting beneficial effect from North Sea oil for the public finances; unfortunately, Covid promises lasting negative ones.
December 2020: We must never repeat the staggering global $6 trillion cost of lockdown
No Western country has emerged well from the Covid crisis, but the UK’s record has been particularly poor, shamefully so in some respects; Britain’s fatality rate is among the highest in the OECD, its recession one of the deepest, and its forecast recovery one of the slowest.
To be fair, the UK has done better than many others in protecting employment, it has been swift to approve new treatments and vaccines, and in a rare sign of forward thinking, it has secured what appear to be adequate supplies of the most promising vaccines. There is still therefore some chance of redemption.
But otherwise it’s been just one costly wrong turn after another, starting with the most basic of the lot – failure to articulate a coherent, evidence-based approach to crisis management.
April 2021: Whatever experts say, we simply cannot afford any more lockdowns