[quote=“daltongang”]the idea of a referendum is a threat to them, Taiwan’s democracy is a threat to them, with the election coming the urge to bring out the old ham handed tactics is too strong to ignore. a referendum that doesn’t call for independence will not be a cause for war. China holds all the cards now. expect pressure like this as the norm rather than an abberration.
chen is pushing the envelope, a la Lee Deng-Hui. we may look back in a few years and say he was smart, or we may curse him, but you can’t expect “don’t rock the boat” to be everybody’s motto.
Tomas, if the slightest chance China could invade is making you nervous, how did you get here? not exactly new news.[/quote]
I appreciate the intelligent commentary. My use of the word “slightest” threw you off. I’m no rookie, and I’m not sitting here pooping my pants. I perceive a real escalation in the rhetoric lately. I have significant business interests here that affect no only my own economic well-being, but that of the companies I represent. I’ve got to stay tuned into what’s really going on. If there’s a blockade, it’s going to put a lot of people I know and like out of work.
What touched a nerve with me recently was the use of this phrasing by the CCP: “The Chinese government is not afraid of a delay in economic development, not afraid of not hosting the Olympics or the World Expo and not afraid of sacrificing [no matter] how many people.” Reminds me too much of TianAnMen. The folks in charge of things in Beijing don’t care much about human life. They probably care more about economic gains. I was also under the impression, based on foreign policy analysis pieces I’d read, that China wouldn’t do anything before the 2008 Olympics. The CCP seems to know what we’re all saying about the reasons why they wouldn’t attack Taiwan, because they countered all three of the key arguments with this statement.
If you’re telling me that this sort of rhetoric is not an escalation, then I’ve been missing something. Either that, or I’m getting paranoid, but I’m not usually a paranoid person. Cautious, yes, but not paranoid.
Please, others, do chime in with something intelligent, a la daltongang.
“Oh, quit worrying, scaredy-cat!” adds nothing to the discussion. Give us some analysis.