I think you’ve missed how our internal instability has affected relations with our close allies…
Let’s look at a few of the far right parties in the eu (which certainly have taken notes from trump in rhetoric). The one that comes to mind for me - since I lived there - is that of Austria. They’ve gained significant popularity over the last few years, albeit imo primarily as a protest vote, but some of this certainly has come on the back of scapegoating the US for what is “wrong with the west” and attributing all the woes of the moment on the extremely small Austrian involvement in the Russia-Ukraine struggle.
They’ll never say it out loud, but the FPÖ’s ties to Russia are clear as day. I mean, they had - to put it in words you’ll certainly understand - their own Hunter Biden. Karin Kneissl - a former member of the party - had Putin at her wedding. She left the FPÖ’s after the Ibiza-affair, in which the leader of the party at the time tried to basically buy electoral support from a woman masquerading as a relation of a Russian oligarch in exchange for business deals. She then rolled into a job at RT and from there into a position at a Russian oil concern, and is now also the president of a Russian think tank which is exceptionally… Russian.
One mustn’t put on glasses to see a similar trend continuing with the current leader of the party - he might not be corrupt, but he certainly is willing to play friendly with countries (Russia, for example) that are against the “west’s” interests. This isn’t limited to Austria. Similar parties elsewhere have made leaps by painting the US as a puppet holder over their countries and unsurprisingly are hard for many things which would please countries like, say, Russia. Germany’s AfD, Serbia’s current ruling party, Orban in Hungary, Le Pen’s party (Rassemblent National or something, I’m too smart to speak french), the list goes on.
I can understand the appeal of the transactional nature of Trump - you and me probably see eye to eye on the matter of NATO contributions, for example - but if China has proven anything, it’s that buying friends doesn’t really work out so well. The belt and road initiative hasn’t bought them any significant support in many of the countries it’s been involved in, and some countries (Czechia comes to mind) have actually developed worse relations as a result. We’ve worked a long time to establish deep relationships with our allies and have done so through consistency and dependability. There was ofc an element of cash to it - marshal plan - but this was accompanied by stable helmsmanship.
And while you might laugh off the military power of our allies, proving that we are consistent and dependable allies is important to maintaining many of the benefits that keep the USA - with or without involvement in international crises - as a major power player, like for example trade deals, the petrodollar, and our bases and support in Europe and elsewhere. But most importantly, it seriously damages allies’ view of us as a stable and reasonable partner. Threatening Canada and Europe with significant tariffs for - what exactly? - is a perfect example of antagonizing behavior toward allies that doesn’t make sense when there’s a potential serious global conflict with China looming. As are pushing claims on Greenland, when we could get what we really want there - military presence - through continuing to do what we have been doing. We already have military presence there, after all. And this has been offered by the Danish as of only two days ago.
Did we really need all that? Or could we sit down with them, as a stable and powerful ally, and make one of those deals which trump professes to be such an artist in…?