THis is looking terrible.
Blues are wupping the greens, with the PFP doing particularly well.
WTF?
Brian
I think that was because they were counting some blue areas first. I don’t think Green’s getting whooped overall in counting (yet?).
Still too early to tell, but it looks like the greens are getting taken to the cleaners right across the board. Could just be biased TV, though.
Well, I hope you’re right TaiOanKok, but I’m still utterly shocked by how well the PFP’s doing.
Brian
I appear to not be right. Blue’s doing a little better than I hoped or predicted.
PowerTV has it KMT 61 PFP 27 DPP 69 TSU 7 None/other 12.
PFP predicted 32-41 for themselves, which meant the KMT thought they’d get somewhere in the 68-73 range.
Judging from the CTV, it looks like an unmitigated disaster. Incumbent DPP legislators are headed for the slaughter house, while not many new DPP faces are coming in.
At least it means that Lian Zhan will be presidential candidate in 2008.
vote2004.chinatimes.com/report/V … s/main.htm
China Times is saying 76-90. As Mr. He pointed out, already some 37 incumbents have lost.
Edit to change incumbent loss count
Don’t worry though – ac’s much too big a man to gloat. 
It really does look, though, as though the LAST thing the Taiwan public wants is to give Chen Shui-bian the legislature. So it’ll be three more years of nothing getting done. Business as usual. :snore:
Looks like Greaseball’s pandering to the TSU loonies has backfired on him bigtime.
Here’s what I’m hearing:
[ul][li]KMT: way up[/li]
[li]DPP up a little, though it doesn’t seem like it[/li]
[li]PFP: down a little[/li]
[li]TSU: down a lot[/li][/ul]
Perhaps 114 seats for the pan-blues – a majority – and that’s without counting the oxymoronic Non-Partisan Solidarity Union and the independents.
I’m curious, though, what the numbers are for the various parties when all the races are added together.
looks like the number of seats for pan greens and pan blues will remain exactly the same as 2001. 114 vs 100.
interesting to see if Lien and Soong will decide to bow out.
PowerTV: Pan-Blue get majority with 116 seats
You mean, percentage of the nation-wide vote?
47% Blue, 44% Green.
i just tallied a bit based on the CEC website figures…
while I don’t know how to tally up, it seems tht the blues are set for 122 seats based on CEC figures, but then I might be missing something… I got the greens to 103…
this is quite disappointing – obviously. i guess chen will have to prepare for another term of bitter struggles with the legislature. where did the green strategy fail? what did they misread about their electorate?
- Too many greens running for the LY.
- DPP went too pro independence in the final days of the campaign.
Both alone could have cost them the election, it seems that the current muddle will continue.
of the 176 directly elected seats, 90 went to the pan blues, 77 to greens, rest to independent. The remaining 49 will be allocated based on % of votes.
what the results indicate is that Taiwan voters is not yet ready for the DPP to run away with their agendas at the risk of cross strait stability. IMO, the China issue remains the biggest voting factor. Sad but true.
i guess the taiwanese public is not quite ready to be as bold and aggressive with the changes to taiwan’s name, constitution, etc. did the DPP and TSU push it too far? did they misread their constituents’ sentiments by that much?
i guess the electorate sent them a message – slow down. curious to see what direction the DPP and TSU will head on the independence issues following this lesson. i am confident that the leadership will be responsive to this defeat and shift gears so as to capture mainstream sentiment again.
ETToday says blues will have 116 seats too.
Pan-blues started saying they want to form the cabinet/pick the premier before the election, and now they seem to be sticking to it. That’s their solution for breaking the legislative deadlock lately. We’ll see how A-bian reacts given he called their plan unconstitutional.
Yes, I think this is the issue that bit the greens in the butt.
This is a recipe for trouble.
I predict that they will try to recall him, once their 319 special commision (which seems safe now) reach their “conclusion”.