I think knowing and dealing with it are two different things. Me I don’t care, if t gets below 80 it’s on my radar, above that I’m not interested right now.
Some people knew SPCX was a great buy at 200 USD.
Almost all insiders are waiting for these unlocks to be able to cash out some of their winnings. The current float of space X is tiny, it’s just 8.5% of the shares. As the video I posted in another thread said this one very likely comes down to supply and demand for the foreseeable future.
The first and largest near-term SpaceX lock-up expiration occurs tomorrow, August 6, 2026, releasing 911.5 million shares (roughly 20% to 30% of restricted stock).
No it’s not aimed at you, but if you bought at that price then it includes you. It means we need to change our strategy according to reality.
Anyway supply and demand, I think that’s the main determinanr for at least a year. This is similar to how crypto works when they create huge hype around a new crypto coin and then stagger the lockout periods later on and you tend to see a big drawdown around those. SpaceX has only released 8 5% of their float and their whole float will be released within a year. Supply is going to overwhelm demand as far as I can see. The market is pointing that way too as other space stocks got a nice bump but SPCX already dropped again.
By the way Gemini is doing that thing again of wrongly assuming what I’m assuming. Bad gemini.
Understanding some % of the unlocked insiders (90% coming on stream within the year) want and need to sell out., that’s still a lot more sellers on the market than before. Easily 5-10x the number. Also Gemini says the current traded float is only 5%.
There’s a big release of shares tomorrow for SPCX. Just the fear of going into that caused SPCX to drop 8 5%
Calling out AI commentary is his defensive shield against having his underlying supply-side assumptions interrogated.
He shifted from asserting a definitive insider exit thesis to softening it into a vague “supply and demand” platitude once the actual legal lockup structures (such as multi-tier tranches and founder lockups) were brought up.
VOO index fund (S and P) up 12% ytd, a mix of index funds are the way to go. Nothing new there but I need to massively change my allocation into funds.
That’s what those of us who are not expert traders like the contributors to this thread do. Boring, but you sleep well and night and it tends to work in the long run.
These days, I see people (from students to grannies) on the MRT left and right looking at charts and their portfolios. To me, this is a sign that the market is too hot and these FOMO retailers will get burned soon.
Well, I am a retailer too, but I would never buy or sell any stocks on a phone on public transport (well, except meme stocks, back a while ago…). I prefer a quiet place and a computer screen before making any financial decisions.
Wait to see if any volume in it. I gave up on gold myself, it seems useless as a hedge if you bought into it recently. It’s fine if you were in a long time ago. Really disliked the last pump and dump.
My YT feed is full of experts predicting a rise of the gold price from the 4000 level, though some say it might dip down to 3600 first. 7500 by 2030 has been the last prediction l have heard. Not going back to 2000, right? I think l will add some.
It does look like a potential breakout signal for gold, I’m going to wait to see if it drops back a bit. I got burnt a bit by getting into the gold trade late.
Yeah, I watched another expert this morning warning about getting in right now, before the upward trend has solidified. Quite a few say that it will first drop below 4000, but most predict it’s going to go up, some say WAY UP, in the long run. So, I plan to put some more in. I bought a signicant amount a few years back and that is still up 150% despite the 30% drop lately. At the same time DCAing in ETFs, holding cash for the next market crash, and what else, maybe a condo in BKK or Hua Hin, ha ha.
Oracle’s (ORCL) total debt-to-equity ratio sits around 388% to 398% (or roughly 4.0). This heavily leveraged balance sheet is primarily driven by the company’s aggressive borrowing to fund massive, multi-billion-dollar data center infrastructure expansions and cloud capacity needed to support its artificial intelligence backlog.
Finally added some gold, let’s see where this is headed. Could drop to below 4000 for sure, then l would add some more. If it keeps climbing steadily l might add more too.
.
