If China "takeover" what happens to NT$? Your opinions?

[TT]

That seems like a lot of work without a lot of payoff if it can be avoided

[RandomName]

@TT They would likely be worried about a guerilla campaign and hidden weapons caches

[Kalle]

@RandomName

USD EUR If it is sitting in a Taiwan bank, then they wouldn’t hold it anymore, if sitting offshore and they are still in Taiwan, they wouldn’t have any access to it.

Property, you only hold at the will of the government.

Shares, if Taiwan shares, they would now be worthless. If foreign shares, no access.

Property, Taiwanese equities, bonds, TWD… will drop long before China took control, just they started to build their invasion force in China

Why wouldn’t they have access to foreign accounts, the discussion was about after the completion of the invasion and China had control, not during the invasion.

It’s in China’s interest to get everything back to “normal” as soon as possible ( a year or two maybe) after the last rockets has been fired. They don’t want the Island of Taiwan to be in international news for decades to come

[TT]

@RandomName

They would likely be worried about a guerilla campaign and hidden weapons caches

Sure, but that doesn’t mean they have to erase any wealth stored in NTD and lock up the whole country in Xinjiang style camps.

Again, lean on common culture. Turn the people into people informants, I wouldn’t expect that to be difficult

[Kalle]

@TT

I think erasing their wealth will be the thing that makes camps necessary. If the CCP can lean on common culture and maintain the wealth their takeover will go much more easily

This! Why make more enemies than they need, just take all part of, or close to DPP away who doesn’t knees down to them. Brutal yes, but not unnecessarily brutal to anybody not resisting them after the war is over

[Flakman]

@RandomName

USD EUR If it is sitting in a Taiwan bank, then they wouldn’t hold it anymore, if sitting offshore and they are still in Taiwan, they wouldn’t have any access to it.

Property, you only hold at the will of the government.

Shares, if Taiwan shares, they would now be worthless. If foreign shares, no access.

Sorry….could you explain more? “…they wouldn’t hold it anymore” Who is they?

And why would Taiwan shares be worthless?

[RandomName]

@Kalle

Why wouldn’t they have access to foreign accounts, the discussion was about after the completion of the invasion and China had control, not during the invasion.

Because Taiwan would be a conquered territory run like Xinjiang or Tibet.

[RandomName]

@Flakman

Sorry….could you explain more? “…they wouldn’t hold it anymore” Who is they?

And why would Taiwan shares be worthless?

If China successfully invaded was the scenario.

[Kalle]

@RandomName

Because Taiwan would be a conquered territory run like Xinjiang or Tibet.

You know they have internet in Tibet nowadays?

[RandomName]

Lol do you know how many of them are still in camps?

[Kalle]

@RandomName

Lol do you know how many of them are still in camps?

Those people China considers as trouble, in Taiwan’s case that would be anybody close to DPP who don’t knee down and accept their new rulers

freedom of speech will be gone of course

[RandomName]

The place would be rubble… it will be all fighting aged males. Until they decide to release then on a case by case basis.

Let’s hope this never happens.

[ppp]

@RandomName

camps?

You mean Auschwitz summer camp???

[Kalle]

@RandomName

The place would be rubble…

I think Taiwan would surrender earlier than that, either a surrender or nukes all over Taiwan and then what we had in our bank accounts doesn’t matter as can’t take them to our grave anyway

[Kalle]

@RandomName

Let’s hope this never happens.

Amen!

[RandomName]

@Kalle

I think Taiwan would surrender earlier than that, either a surrender or nukes all over Taiwan and then what we had in our bank accounts doesn’t matter as can’t take them to our grave anyway

I have an orange booklet that states they will never surrender.

[RandomName]

Let’s hope if the PRC ever attempts an invasion that their loses in the taiwan strait are so great that they retreat before any landing. It’s not 1944, they can’t hide an invasion fleet.

[Whatevah]

You’re delusional if you think they’d use nukes. Korea and Japan will develop nukes, Taiwan will hit the three gorges dam before surrendering and US might hit China with nukes too. They can’t let a country that uses nukes preemptively go unchecked and gain power and resources.

likeliest scenario is nothing. Second likeliest is a short war where the allies sink Chinese ships and trade rockets for some months, which would be devastating but not catastrophic.

[snowstorm]

The better question is, what parts of China will be owned by which countries after the CCP collapses? The RMB would be obsolete, with different sections operating under their vassal currencies. Probably the best case since it’s a win win for everyone, creates competition among former PRC territories which drives down costs of assembly and manufacturing, and we don’t need to move any more factories out so all the sunk cost and FDI is recouped. And the Chinese finally will be free of the CCP so all around good for China and good for the world.

[Kalle]

@Whatevah

You’re delusional if you think they’d use nukes.

You are delusional if you think nukes would never be used, China’s nuke arsenal is growing like crazy and Xi is a scary guy with those weapons

Hopefully never used again, but it’s delusional to try to put Xi in a logical way