What should Taiwan’s response the the anti-secession law be?
- Surrender immediately
- Ignore it
- Pass an anti anti-secession law
- Hold a referendum on whether China should invade Taiwan
- Grant the PRC independence from the ROC
- Hold missile tests off the coast of Beijing
So, they’re just about to announce the ‘anti-secession law’ in the National People’s Conference which is going on this week in China. There seem to be a load of unanswered questions about it: What will it actually contain? What will Taiwans response be? What should Taiwan’s response be? What will be the international reaction? I’m interested in peoples thoughts on any of the above questions … but the biggest question that I can’t find a good answer for is:
What on earth is the point of the thing?
The stated aim seems to be to provide a legal basis for an attack on Taiwan. WTF? Apart from the implication that there isn’t a legal basis for attack now, noone is going to care about the legality of it if push does come to shove. The Chinese (who are willing to speak publically) would support an attack, the Taiwanese (who live on the island) would be a bit upset by an attack, while most Western nations would denounce an attack (and do something/nothing based on their own self interest). Noone is going to say “Well, normally I’d be against a war, but they’ve passed this law, so it must be OK …”
The obvious effect in Taiwan of the law is to piss every off - possibly enough to disrail any efforts to start cross-strait talks (which for the first time in 5 years there seemed to be some real interest in), and in general push Taiwanese sentiment further away from China.
The only reason I can find for the law is that has something to do with internal politics in China (keeping the hard-liners happy? trying to prove that Wen/Hu’s have the LanPa to address any issue?) - but I know little about Chinese politics.