# Russia vs. Ukraine 2024-2026

**URL:** <https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519>\
**Category:** International Politics\
**Tags:** ukraine\
**Created:** [January 3, 2024, 9:56am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519 "2024-01-03T09:56:36Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![TT](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/tt/32/271883_2.png) [@TT](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TT)\
**Post date:** [January 3, 2024, 9:56am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/1 "2024-01-03T09:56:37Z")

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Ukraine is starting the year off on a stong note  
[https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/01/02/russia-announced-it-had-deployed-to-ukraine-its-best-new-artillery-detecting-radar-hours-later-the-ukrainians-blew-it-up-with-artillery/](https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/01/02/russia-announced-it-had-deployed-to-ukraine-its-best-new-artillery-detecting-radar-hours-later-the-ukrainians-blew-it-up-with-artillery/)

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**Author:** ![cake](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/cake/32/199931_2.png) [@cake](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/cake)\
**Post date:** [January 3, 2024, 2:33pm UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/2 "2024-01-03T14:33:34Z")

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![image](https://forumosauploads-12829.kxcdn.com/original/3X/4/3/433a0966fc48bfd5e0244bf092eec814345d72d7.jpeg)

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**Author:** ![slawa](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/slawa/32/112823_2.png) [@slawa](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/slawa)\
**Post date:** [January 3, 2024, 3:03pm UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/3 "2024-01-03T15:03:00Z")

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You forgot this

> [@Ukraine Invasion: General Discussion, November-December 2022](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/ukraine-invasion-general-discussion-november-december-2022/224843/450):
>
> 500,000 troops are not heading to Ukraine to build snowmen and sing Christmas carols.

What were those 500k troops up to in the last year? 🤔

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**Author:** ![cake](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/cake/32/199931_2.png) [@cake](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/cake)\
**Post date:** [January 3, 2024, 3:17pm UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/4 "2024-01-03T15:17:11Z")

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Making Shoigu money and consolidating his power.

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**Author:** ![slawa](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/slawa/32/112823_2.png) [@slawa](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/slawa)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2024, 12:55am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/5 "2024-01-04T00:55:04Z")

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Looks like finally in Russia the pressure from relatives was big enough to force Russian government to continue prisoner exchanges.

> **[Ukraine and Russia announce largest prisoner swap since start of war](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/03/ukraine-russia-prisoners-of-war-pows-swap-exchange-deal-uae)**
>
> Both sides release more than 200 troops in first exchange since August after UAE-mediated negotiations

> The Russian government has not allowed any outside bodies, including the United Nations and the International Committee of the Red Cross, to visit the facility which before the war was used exclusively to hold Russian prisoners.

> **[Ukrainian prisoners of war say they were tortured at Russian prison](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66453692)**
>
> Former prisoners of war tell the BBC they were abused by Russian guards inside a detention facility.

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**Author:** ![slawa](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/slawa/32/112823_2.png) [@slawa](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/slawa)\
**Post date:** [January 9, 2024, 6:27am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/6 "2024-01-09T06:27:59Z")

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> ## Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence Secures Russian Military Tech Documents
> 
> ![Bez-isdvfmeni](https://forumosauploads-12829.kxcdn.com/original/3X/1/e/1e9a6cd1cff3517ccdcfe7dbb7f8cfd4479d4829.jpeg)  
> The Defense Intelligence press service reported receiving 100 gigabytes of classified data from the Russian company Special Technological Center LLC (STC).  
> The array of information contains documentation on 194 nomenclature items on both existing and prospective military developments: drawings, specifications, patents, software, etc…
> 
> In particular, the intelligence officers received documentation concerning Orlan-10, Altius, Inokhodets, Sirius drones, 14C227 Tobol and Svet-KU electronic warfare systems, R-438 Barrier-T and R-168 Aqueduct communication systems, and Kometa chips.
> 
> According to preliminary estimates, the value of the data obtained could be as high as US$1.5 billion.
> 
> … the secret information was seized from the Russian enterprise due to employees who were dissatisfied with corruption.

[![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/t0IRjjxE2ck/maxresdefault.jpg "ВСЕ ИДЕТ СОГЛАСНО ГРАФИКУ! ВСЕ ПО ПЛАНУ | Интервью с @dmytrokarpenko") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0IRjjxE2ck)

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**Author:** ![unilpq](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/u/b38774/32.png) [@unilpq](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/unilpq)\
**Post date:** [January 9, 2024, 7:36pm UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/7 "2024-01-09T19:36:44Z")

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Increasing Shoigu’s wealth and power.

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**Author:** ![tempogain](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/tempogain/32/264650_2.png) [@tempogain](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/tempogain)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2024, 1:53pm UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/8 "2024-01-13T13:53:35Z")

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Interesting if true

> **[Two dozen Russian helicopters downed in one day with 'secret weapon'—Kyiv](https://www.newsweek.com/26-russian-helicopters-downed-secret-weapon-ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-1860250)**
>
> Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky claimed a mystery defense system it had been supplied had destroyed 26 helicopters in a day.

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**Author:** ![olm](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/olm/32/91247_2.png) [@olm](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/olm)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2024, 5:12pm UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/9 "2024-01-13T17:12:57Z")

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Sounds unlikely… But I’d love it to be true.

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**Author:** ![anon24369109](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/a/3be4f8/32.png) [@anon24369109](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/anon24369109)\
**Post date:** [January 17, 2024, 3:06am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/10 "2024-01-17T03:06:33Z")

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> **[ISW analyzes Russia's response to downing of its aircraft over Sea of Azov](https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3813946-isw-analyzes-russias-response-to-downing-of-its-aircraft-over-sea-of-azov.html)**
>
> After it was confirmed that Ukraine had shot down two Russian aircraft over the Sea of Azov, Russia repeatedly denied this fact, saying that it was the work of their air defenses to show that missions over the Black Sea and Sea of Azov are still...

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**Author:** ![TT](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/tt/32/271883_2.png) [@TT](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TT)\
**Post date:** [January 17, 2024, 5:06am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/11 "2024-01-17T05:06:45Z")

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> **[Ukrainian Crews Set A Complex Missile Trap For Russia’s Best Radar Plane](https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/01/16/ukrainian-crews-set-a-complex-missile-trap-for-russias-best-radar-plane/)**
>
> Exactly how the Ukrainians shot down the four-engine A-50 is unclear, but analyst Tom Cooper has a theory. Ukrainian missile crews lured the Russian crew into a trap.

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**Author:** ![TT](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/tt/32/271883_2.png) [@TT](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TT)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2024, 4:45am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/12 "2024-01-19T04:45:07Z")

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Good news for Taiwan, the PRC tanks are based on Russian technology (any Chinese tech added on would be largely untested, and possibly crippled by corruption), while Taiwan has Bushmasters on their Clouded Lepard IFV. I hope the PLA are thinking carefully about what they see here

> **[Armor Experts Breakdown Video Of Ukrainian M2 Bradley Mauling Russian T-90M Tank](https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/armor-experts-breakdown-video-of-ukrainian-m2-bradley-mauling-russian-t-90m-tank)**
>
> Veteran armor experts explain the viral video showing Russia's top tank in Ukraine getting torn-up by a Bradley Fighting Vehicle.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![anon24369109](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/a/3be4f8/32.png) [@anon24369109](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/anon24369109)\
**Post date:** [January 19, 2024, 11:37am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/13 "2024-01-19T11:37:38Z")

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> **[Russia’s Tarantul-class corvette sinks in Sevastopol after Ukrainian strike -...](https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3815519-russias-tarantulclass-corvette-sinks-in-sevastopol-after-ukrainian-strike-isw.html)**
>
> Satellite images confirm that as a result of Ukrainian strikes targeting Russia’s naval assets in temporarily occupied Crimea late December 2023, a Russian Tarantul-type corvette was sunk. — Ukrinform.

> **[Ukrainian Defense Forces kill 920 Russian service members overnight](https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3815409-ukrainian-defense-forces-kill-920-russian-service-members-overnight.html)**
>
> From February 24, 2022, to January 19, 2024, the Ukrainian Defense Forces eliminated about 374,520 Russian invaders, 920 of them over the past day.  — Ukrinform.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TaipeiGuy2000](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/taipeiguy2000/32/155716_2.png) [@TaipeiGuy2000](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TaipeiGuy2000)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2024, 2:51am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/14 "2024-01-20T02:51:34Z")

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> [@Nato drills 2024](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/nato-drills-2024/237081/6):
>
> > [@Nato drills 2024](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/nato-drills-2024/237081/5):
> >
> > The view on the other side
> 
> That’s the real issue. 😒
> 
> Even if they haven’t a hope in hell of succeeding, if they _think_ they can then it becomes everyone’s problem.

The Ukraine war is over for all intents and purposes. Ukraine will need to negotiate something to have any hope of retaining statehood for a small part of Ukraine.

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**Author:** ![TT](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/tt/32/271883_2.png) [@TT](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TT)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2024, 3:15am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/15 "2024-01-20T03:15:09Z")

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I disagree. The lines have barely moved in the past year and Ukraine still controls most of the country. As long as things are as they have been since the war started, the stalemate can continue.

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**Author:** ![TaipeiGuy2000](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/taipeiguy2000/32/155716_2.png) [@TaipeiGuy2000](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TaipeiGuy2000)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2024, 4:53am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/16 "2024-01-20T04:53:34Z")

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> [@TT](#):
>
> As long as things are as they have been since the war started, the stalemate can continue.

For a while. Want to bet on how long?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TT](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/tt/32/271883_2.png) [@TT](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TT)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2024, 5:00am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/17 "2024-01-20T05:00:45Z")

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What’s your wager?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TaipeiGuy2000](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/taipeiguy2000/32/155716_2.png) [@TaipeiGuy2000](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TaipeiGuy2000)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2024, 5:39am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/18 "2024-01-20T05:39:18Z")

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> [@TT](#):
>
> What’s your wager?

Let’s call it a gentleman’s bet, no pay-off other than being right.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TT](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/tt/32/271883_2.png) [@TT](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TT)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2024, 5:53am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/19 "2024-01-20T05:53:44Z")

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And the terms?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TaipeiGuy2000](https://forumosa-12829.kxcdn.com/user_avatar/tw.forumosa.com/taipeiguy2000/32/155716_2.png) [@TaipeiGuy2000](https://tw.forumosa.com/u/TaipeiGuy2000)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2024, 6:06am UTC](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519/20 "2024-01-20T06:06:31Z")

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> [@TT](#):
>
> And the terms?

How about: within 6 months Ukraine is going to lose significant additional territory.

[Next page](https://tw.forumosa.com/t/russia-vs-ukraine-2024-2026/236519.md?page=2)
