right now, it seems like a push. i read (not sure where) this morning that the pan-blues are trying squeeze something thru the legislative yuan asking beijing to stop adding missiles targeting taiwan and eventually begin decreasing the number.
maybe they’ll point them at tibet or xinjiang…
but the point of the pan-blue endrun was to get beijing to remove the impetus for ah-bian’s ‘emergency’ refer…
Chen needs to keep the focus of the election on the status of Taiwan in order to remain in office. Thus, we will have a referendum that will likely challenge the status quo in terms of popular participation in constutional reforms. If he is defeated, the KMT will inherit a populist concensus that will prevent Lien/Soong from seeking closer political ties with the mainland.
The new pan-blue crony designed referendum law is designed to make a referendum damn near impossible to hold, unless a majority of the legislature wants it. Moreover, the question will have to be vetted by a legislative committe, so I think that it will be hard.
Chen’s strategy should be to approve the law with some suggested amendments, thus turning the tables on the opposition, and making it look as if they turned the issue down in the end.
This is why President Chen is calling for a “defensive referendum,” which allows him to hold a referendum – without other restrictions on approval – on national security issues if there is an external threat to the nation.
Note that there is nothing in the wording about “military” threat or from where. It was purposefully vague.
China’s ballistic missiles targeting Taiwan is the reason, so the president thinks, that a “defensive referendum” is applicable.
The questions that will be asked are those that would not call for independance, but rather put Beijing in the worst light for a possible future military (or blockade) action, such as “Do you support the ‘one country, two sytems’ model for Taiwan?” This would of course be answered by a resounding “no” here and would put China in the position of having to deal with the people of Taiwan, rather than with a rarified political few.
I think there will be referendum. Chen is playing with fire here as much could go wrong (even though we all know where our nearest air raid shelter is), but I think he has stuck his neck out for it.
(By the way, questions two and three in the poll are absurd. These are not even being considered by anyone. You ought to change the poll, if you can, to reflect more realistic concepts for a valid result.)
If I were president the referendum would call for voting on a new flag, constitution, name and national anthem, stopping construction of the fourth nuclear plan, ending the death penalty, banning motorbikes on sidewalks and cramming of glossy crap in mailboxes, making prositution legal again and lifting the ban on betelnut girls showing their breasts, butts and bellies. . . but I’m not president, so we’ll have to settle for a less exciting vote.
Anyone else here sick to death of the word referendum? I get the feeling that folks here into politics and press just seem to think that if they say or print that word enough times they’ll be more cool or something. Ugh! I just want to retch. What’s wrong with the word “poll?” It only one syllable, most folks here can say it, or even read it, and it means the same thing. Sigh. I need a vacation.