What Bremer Got Right in Iraq

[quote]What We Got Right in Iraq

By L. Paul Bremer
Sunday, May 13, 2007; B01

Once conventional wisdom congeals, even facts can’t shake it loose. These days, everyone “knows” that the Coalition Provisional Authority made two disastrous decisions at the beginning of the U.S. occupation of Iraq: to vengefully drive members of the Baath Party from public life and to recklessly disband the Iraqi army. The most recent example is former CIA chief George J. Tenet, whose new memoir pillories me for those decisions (even though I don’t recall his ever objecting to either call during our numerous conversations in my 14 months leading the CPA). Similar charges are unquestioningly repeated in books and articles. Looking for a neat, simple explanation for our current problems in Iraq, pundits argue that these two steps alienated the formerly ruling Sunnis, created a pool of angry rebels-in-waiting and sparked the insurgency that’s raging today. The conventional wisdom is as firm here as it gets. It’s also dead wrong.

Like most Americans, I am disappointed by the difficulties the nation has encountered after our quick 2003 victory over Saddam Hussein. But the U.S.-led coalition was absolutely right to strip away the apparatus of a particularly odious tyranny. Hussein modeled his regime after Adolf Hitler’s, which controlled the German people with two main instruments: the Nazi Party and the Reich’s security services. We had no choice but to rid Iraq of the country’s equivalent organizations to give it any chance at a brighter future.

Here’s how the decisions were made. Gen. Tommy R. Franks, the head of the military’s U.S. Central Command, outlawed the Baath Party on April 16, 2003. The day before I left for Iraq in May, Undersecretary of Defense Douglas J. Feith presented me with a draft law that would purge top Baathists from the Iraqi government and told me that he planned to issue it immediately. Recognizing how important this step was, I asked Feith to hold off, among other reasons, so I could discuss it with Iraqi leaders and CPA advisers. A week later, after careful consultation, I issued this “de-Baathification” decree, as drafted by the Pentagon.

Our goal was to rid the Iraqi government of the small group of true believers at the top of the party, not to harass rank-and-file Sunnis. We were following in the footsteps of Gen. Dwight D. Eisenhower in postwar Germany. Like the Nazi Party, the Baath Party ran all aspects of Iraqi life. Every Iraqi neighborhood had a party cell. Baathists recruited children to spy on their parents, just as the Nazis had. Hussein even required members of his dreaded intelligence services to read “Mein Kampf.”

Although Hussein and his cronies had been in power three times as long as Hitler had, the CPA decree was much less far-reaching than Eisenhower’s de-Nazification law, which affected all but the lowest-ranking former Nazis. By contrast, our Iraqi law affected only about 1 percent of Baath Party members. We knew that many had joined out of opportunism or fear, and they weren’t our targets.

Eisenhower had barred Nazis not just from holding government jobs but “from positions of importance in quasi-public and private enterprises.” The Iraqi law merely prohibited these top party officials from holding government positions, leaving them free to find jobs elsewhere – even outside Iraq (provided they were not facing criminal charges). Finally, the de-Baathification decree let us make exceptions, and scores of Baathists remained in their posts.

Our critics (usually people who have never visited Iraq) often allege that the de-Baathification decision left Iraqi ministries without effective leadership. Not so. Virtually all the old Baathist ministers had fled before the decree was issued. But we were generally impressed with the senior civil servants left running the ministries, who in turn were delighted to be free of the party hacks who had long overseen them. The net result: We stripped away the tyrant’s ardent backers but gave responsible Sunnis a chance to join in building a new Iraq.

The decree was not only judicious but also popular. Four days after I issued it, Hamid Bayati, a leading Shiite politician, told us that the Shiites were “jubilant” because they had feared that the United States planned to leave unrepentant Baathists in senior government and security positions – what he called “Saddamism without Saddam.” Opinion polls during the occupation period repeatedly showed that an overwhelming majority of Iraqis, including many Sunnis, supported de-Baathification.

We then turned over the implementation of this carefully focused policy to Iraq’s politicians. I was wrong here. The Iraqi leaders, many of them resentful of the old Sunni regime, broadened the decree’s impact far beyond our original design. That led to such unintended results as the firing of several thousand teachers for being Baath Party members. We eventually fixed those excesses, but I should have made implementation the job of a judicial body, not a political one.

Still, the underlying policy of removing top Baath officials from government was right and necessary. This decision is still supported by most Iraqis; witness the difficulties that Iraq’s elected government has had in making even modest revisions to the decree.

The war’s critics have also comprehensively misunderstood the “disbanding” of Hussein’s army, arguing that we kicked away a vital pillar that kept the country stable and created a pool of unemployed, angry men ripe for rebellion. But this fails to reckon with the true nature of Hussein’s killing machine and the situation on the ground.

It’s somewhat surprising at this late date to have to remind people of the old army’s reign of terror. In the 1980s, it waged a genocidal war against Iraq’s minority Kurds, killing hundreds of thousands of innocent civilians and more than 5,000 people in a notorious chemical-weapons attack on the Kurdish town of Halabja. After the 1991 Persian Gulf War, Iraq’s majority Shiites rose up against Hussein, whose army machine-gunned hundreds of thousands of men, women and children and threw their corpses into mass graves. It’s no wonder that Shiites and Kurds, who together make up more than 80 percent of Iraq’s population, hated Hussein’s military.

Moreover, any thought of using the old army was undercut by conditions on the ground. Before the 2003 war, the army had consisted of about 315,000 miserable draftees, almost all Shiite, serving under a largely Sunni officer corps of about 80,000. The Shiite conscripts were regularly brutalized and abused by their Sunni officers. When the draftees saw which way the war was going, they deserted and, like their officers, went back home. But before the soldiers left, they looted the army’s bases right down to the foundations.

So by the time I arrived in Iraq, there was no Iraqi army to disband
. Some in the U.S. military and the CIA’s Baghdad station suggested that we try to recall Hussein’s army. We refused, for overwhelming practical, political and military reasons.

For starters, the draftees were hardly going to return voluntarily to the army they so loathed; we would have had to send U.S. troops into Shiite villages to force them back at gunpoint. And even if we could have assembled a few all-Sunni units, the looting would have meant they’d have no gear or bases.

Moreover, the political consequences of recalling the army would have been catastrophic. Kurdish leaders made it clear to me that recalling Hussein-era forces would make their region secede, which would have triggered a civil war and tempted Turkey and Iran to invade Iraq to prevent the establishment of an independent Kurdistan. Many Shiite leaders who were cooperating with the U.S.-led forces would have taken up arms against us if we’d called back the perpetrators of the southern killing fields of 1991.

Finally, neither the U.S.-led coalition nor the Iraqis could have relied on the allegiance of a recalled army. This lesson was driven home a year later, when the Marines unilaterally recalled a single brigade of Hussein’s former army, without consulting with the Iraqi government or the CPA. This “Fallujah Brigade” quickly proved disloyal and had to be disbanded. Moreover, the Marines’ action so rattled the Shiites and Kurds that it very nearly derailed the political process of returning sovereignty over the country to the Iraqi people – further proof of the extreme danger of relying on Hussein’s old army.

So, after full coordination within the U.S. government, including the military, I issued an order to build a new, all-volunteer army. Any member of the former army up to the rank of colonel was welcome to apply.
By the time I left Iraq, more than 80 percent of the enlisted men and virtually all of the noncommissioned officers and officers in the new army were from the old army, as are most of the top officers today. We also started paying pensions to officers from the old army who could not join the new one – stipends that the Iraqi government is still paying.

I’ll admit that I’ve grown weary of being a punching bag over these decisions – particularly from critics who’ve never spent time in Iraq, don’t understand its complexities and can’t explain what we should have done differently. These two sensible and moral calls did not create today’s insurgency. Intelligence material we discovered after the war began showed that Hussein’s security forces had long planned to wage such a revolt.

No doubt some members of the Baath Party and the old army have joined the insurgency. But they are not fighting because they weren’t given a chance to earn a living. They’re fighting because they want to topple a democratically elected government and reestablish a Baathist dictatorship. The true responsibility for today’s bloodshed rests with these people and their al-Qaeda collaborators.

Lpaulbremer@gmail.com

L. Paul Bremer was presidential envoy to Iraq and administrator

of the Coalition Provisional Authority from May 2003 to June 2004.[/quote]
washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/co … 54_pf.html

[quote=“fred smith”][quote]What We Got Right in Iraq

The war’s critics have also comprehensively misunderstood the “disbanding” of Hussein’s army, arguing that we kicked away a vital pillar that kept the country stable and created a pool of unemployed, angry men ripe for rebellion. But this fails to reckon with the true nature of Hussein’s killing machine and the situation on the ground.

It’s somewhat surprising at this late date to have to remind people of the old army’s reign of terror. In the 1980s, it waged a genocidal war against Iraq’s minority Kurds, killing hundreds of thousands of innocent civilians and more than 5,000 people in a notorious chemical-weapons attack on the Kurdish town of Halabja. After the 1991 Persian Gulf War, Iraq’s majority Shiites rose up against Hussein, whose army machine-gunned hundreds of thousands of men, women and children and threw their corpses into mass graves. It’s no wonder that Shiites and Kurds, who together make up more than 80 percent of Iraq’s population, hated Hussein’s military.

By the time I left Iraq, more than 80 percent of the enlisted men and virtually all of the noncommissioned officers and officers in the new army were from the old army, as are most of the top officers today. [emphasis added-MikeN]

[/quote][/quote]

I guess that explains it.

Well, I think that this goes directly to dispelling some of the nonsense that is passed around knowingly as fact despite its complete and utter wrongness.

Fred

What a load of utter horseshit and strawman arguments.

Yes, he inherited mistakes made by the Bush administration via Garner, but during the CPA there was a massive bleed-out of literally bales of cash that was supposed to be spent on Iraq development. Considering the pricetag of the war to date, we could have saved money by putting every Iraqi adult to work for princely wages to do reconstruction … instead we got American mega-corporations like KBR and Halliburton cowering in protected enclaves (their first construction projects) and U.S. Marines stuck running about trying to paint schools.

One of the stupidest strawmen he puts up is the idea that we needed the Iraqi army back together to serve as an army under the same crappy conditions, under the same “leadership they loathed”. Simply put, we could have put those guys into an enormous equivalent of Taiwan’s RSEA – turning them into a massive localized contruction group of 300,000 people collecting healthy paychecks to drive paving machines, put electric grids and plumbing back together, etc.

L. Paul Shithead also forgets that they also disbanded the police – from the Baathists down to the guys directing traffic. Keeping in mind that Iraq never got around to setting up traffic lights, this decision was disasterous from the standpoint of U.S. troop mobility and just the flow of commerce within the city. Why was this done? The traffic cops (on foot, believe it or not) used to collect minor fines for a range of offenses and were allowed to keep a percentage of the fines as an incentive to do their jobs – maybe not the way we would do it in the U.S. but it had worked fairly well in Iraq. We then tried to redraft the entire traffic code using one from a midwestern state (Iowa, I recall) as an example, but of course it didn’t work well given the absence of any cops.

Bremer was right in his earlier statements about something – we went in with too few troops to secure Iraq and our initial lax attitude toward the initial lawlessness and looting came back to bite us in the ass.

As to his concluding Republican mantra that the insurgents just “hate democracy”, what a load of hooey. We went in there as undermanned conquerors, gave all the plum jobs to American mega-contractors without conveying actual benefit to the Iraqis by either fixing the country’s infrastructure or employing a lot of fighting-age people. We gave them no good reasons to like us or our “gift” of democracy, so the Iraqis felt free to kill our troops, kill our contractors, kill each other and, incidentally, toleratethe presence of the “foreign fighters”. Had the Bush administration even given a crap about making Iraq a success for the Iraqis, we’d already be done with this war.

My goodness you are in rare form today… What a load of… invective… So would you like to supply a few quotes/links to challenge directly Bremer’s assertions or do we just have your … feelings… strong as they are… to go on…

Bremer’s the one trying to dig himself out of a hole here by challenging the common understanding of his tenure, so I think it’s up to him to defend his strawmen if he can. I think he’s full of crap when he talks about the Iraqi army being put back in the same conditions as before – nearly all scenarios I’d read would have put them to work on reconstruction.

The observations on the police came from a lengthy article on the history of the Green Zone in the Atlantic Monthly, which I read in the original printed version but which is now available online. It has a pretty good account of how the city of Baghdad fared.

Uh uh MFGR. You know the drill. You were the one that set the precedent. YOU go and find the relevant passages and YOU supply them point by point with the links provided to answer Bremer’s points. Not getting lazy on us all of a sudden are YOU? Seems that this was one of your bottomline, baseline requirements at one time. Don’t want to take the time or effort to meet your own exacting standards. Why am I not suprised? Anyway, whenever you’re ready, post away. Until then… Don’t you have to be somewhere auctioneering or something?

The one that the Bush administation uses to screw people? No, I don’t think we need that one.

Bremer is the one trying to challenge the status quo with his own novel re-interpretation of what the Iraq situation was.

I say that the fine points don’t matter when he’s setting up strawmen and arguing points that don’t matter. He can discuss the old Iraq army all he wants, but if he’s suggesting that anybody expected the Iraq army to stay as a fighting force under Baathists, he’s nuts.

I’m not intellectually lazy enough to spend time on Bremer’s fakey strawmen. I’ve given him credit where I think he was correct --i.e., too few troops and the initial allowing of Iraq to slip into lawlessness.

Show me that there was any serious support for any ideas about reconstituting the Iraq army without the predominant context being the use of those troops for infrastructure contruction projects. Show me that Bremer has even discussed at all the issues I’ve raised (and supported with a very helpful article) about the disbanding of the police.

Well, you were the one suggesting that Bremer’s explanation wraps everything up. It doesn’t, but you don’t want to provide any support for L. Paul F*ckup. You wrote that his piece was:

With regards to the army, I think he’s raising a strawman in that nobody was saying the old Iraq army should go back to being a military force run by Baathists.

You shouldn’t be surprised that anybody would challenge Bremer’s horseshit.

There you have it ladies and gentlemen. MFGR’s explanation.

I don’t think Bremer is raising strawmen here. Even if the Iraqi army had stayed in its present form to be used for reconstruction, it’s doubtful the 80,000 Sunni officers would have passively submitted. If they had stayed in tact, and the army bases were not looted to the foundations, what would stop them from mounting an even more brutal and effective insurgency? They’d have all the equipment, supplies, and manpower to do so. It’s a pipedream to think they’d just cart themselves out day after day, rebuilding pipelines and schools or whatever, when their plan all along was to mount a violent resistance.

Bremer is saying that most of a disgruntled conscript army had already disbanded by the time he got there, and had stripped the bases down to nothing. I remember reading about the bases being looted (among other things), and it’s not so unbelievable that the Shiite conscripts would have ditched the army they’d been forced to join. I think Bremer is telling the truth on that one. I’ll reserve final judgment until I see a direct refutation of his claim (I’ll be looking around for responses to his WaPo article).

Likewise his statements about the de-Baathification of Iraq seem believable. I’ve read about Eisenhowers’ de-Nazification policies, and if Bremer is telling the truth about his own policies, I agree they were far less comprehensive (at least until the Shiites carried them too far as he says). Again I’ll be reserving judgment until I see some educated responses.

But still, I don’t really think Bremer is breaking down strawmen here. His little “they hate democracy” bit at the end was laughable, but in a way he may be right. The hardline Baathists do hate democracy, because democracy places them firmly in the minority and unable to continue Sunni rule of Iraq. If Iraq were 80% Arab Sunni, they might look on “democracy” or whatever you call that joke of a polity in Iraq more favorably. Heck maybe they could even create paramilitary branches in their political parties which they use to control neighborhoods of Baghdad and outlying provinces and assassinate political enemies. Oh wait they already do that…but not as well as the uh, democracy-loving Shiites.