Will China attack? What do you think? When will she attack? What does the future hold for our little island!
we have been wondering about that for over 50 years. I think that the present path is leading to further workings together. And eventually there will be the same standard of living on both sides and then there is no need for a political difference.
why the hell would they bother attacking? this country is slowly signing itās own death warrantā¦what motivates local taiwanese? money and the chance to make lots of it (with a view to immigrating)ā¦where is that chance presenting itself? chinaā¦independence is a forgotten word here, yesterdayās newsā¦
China, for the first time in about a hundred years, finds itself without major threats of invasion from surrounding foriegn powers. Itās building its strength, stockpiling the weapons it can, and making deals with all the nations that the US and Europe wonāt deal with or canāt be bothered with ā i.e. rogue states in Africa. Taiwan isnāt going anywhere and isnāt overtaking it.
I was here on 9/11 and wondered if China would take advantage of the distraction. But āsheā didnāt. I give Taiwan another 10 years, guaranteed.
You know what Forumosa needs? a pool. A China-attacking-taiwan pool. You pays your money, and you picks your day.
The only thing that might initiate an attack is an uncontrollable urge on Chinaās side to save face.
Think on the bright side: Itāll be over in a few dayās time. The Taiwanese military had these simulation exercises a year or two ago where a Chinese attack was simulated on computer. I think it was over in three daysā¦
But then, like the other posters said, China has nothing to gain from taking back this little rock.
Why would they bother? Itās in their genes, genus ā¦ and they want to save āfaceā ā¦ although I donāt know why ā¦ non of the shit heads were there in 1945-1949 ā¦
No? Think internationally ā¦ control over more outlying islands expands the territory ā¦ probably oil fields, gas more, control ā¦ power buid-up ā¦ than attack korea, Japan for their outlying islands and gain more ā¦ all paid by the west from trade ā¦
We should stop buying from china and move to India, Vietnam ā¦ Philippines e.o. ā¦
Right, because India, the Philippines, and Vietnam are so altruistically minded! Ha!
Agreed, no immediate reason for China to attack Taiwan. Everything is in Chinaās favor (as long as the feared Belgians donāt rally their tremendous forces and boycott our economy).
10 years ago, there was rough parity between PRC and ROC forces. Now, thereās rough parity between PRC and ROC + US military forces in the cross-strait region. 10 years from now, unlikely even that rough parity will holdā¦ (unless the Belgians deploy their fearful special forces into Taiwan.) In 50 years, Taiwanese will be either our business partners or our maids.
But you canāt ignore the possibility that this trend is precisely why things are dangerous today. Someone in Taipei could very possibly be looking to invent a reason. The doomsday clock for Taiwanese independence is ticking, and their best immediate hope is forcing a near-term conflict with China.
FYI, we have special undercover units no one knows about ā¦ be scared ā¦
the secret pie brigade. waffle you to death.
cctangā¦ as always your vision of doom is quite remarkableā¦
The only one waging war on this conflict is the CCP. As far as I know, TIāers (or people that recognize that Taiwan is independent already) never made any attempt to put submarines near someone elseās water, never destroyed satellites, never invaded nearby countries in the name of a superior race or whatever nor invented laws in case the other side announces independence (exactly from what we need to see).
In this story, the one who needs to be fearing is the CCP itselfā¦ they are the ones who are staging their own āwarāā¦
Iām not sure what point your making here mr_boogie. CCās answer to the OP, I think is pretty spot on. i.e. not much chance of China doing anything while the status quo is continuing to change in their favor.
Maybe it was this comment that youāre responding to.
But stating that Taiwan is independent already, has de facto status meets the terms for the Montevideo Convention or whatever. Is quite besides the point, as is whatever beastly things China is doing to build up missiles and pass laws. If Taiwan wants to be accepted as a sovereign state, thereās not much they can do, itās up to other nations to make that decision. Thereās no indication that anything TIās did would change that fact either.
The way things are going, there is no reason to expect China to attack, the only way that could change is from an act from the Taiwan side. This is reality as I see it.
Does it make it fair ? I donāt think the Chinese care itās fair or not. Why canāt Taiwan make amendments to itās own constitution without the US getting their pants in a twist and saying the Taiwanese are at fault for trying to provoke China and change the status quo? After all Taiwan is an independent sovereign state already, right?
The phrase ādonāt cut off your nose to spite your faceā jumps to mind.
Why would China want to attack Taiwan? They have every country in the world in agreement that Taiwan is a part of China. They are growing exponentially. If China can stay the course, there will come a time when the Taiwanese will be begging to become part of what China has to offer. It might be 20 or 30 years down the track but it is coming.
It is true that Taiwan is sitting on one of the biggest reserves of natural gas in the world. That will be of great interest to China and will probably make a handy negotiating tool for Taiwan in the future.
The biggest threat to Taiwan is inequitable growth in China. The second biggest is geopolitical manipulation. The least threatening issue is the Taiwan independence movement. It doesnāt have the cache.
Taiwanās Canadian english teacher human wave attack will sweep the PLA bandits into the sea.
āThey have Labattās on three for two over there. Those PLA bozos are all thatās standing between them and you.ā
the secret pie brigade. waffle you to death.
Donāt forget, they also have chocolate, which would probably slow the PLA down because they would be too busy complaining how sweet it was to attack.
What war? The war was already over many years ago. On the condition that we understand and conduct ourselves within the constraits and limit, we should not be unduly worried. Itās happy hours, pals. Drink and be merry
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Basically PRC is in the driver seat for the foreseeable future on this issue. I say marry off our women folks to mitigate the chance of attack. Or marry their women folkā¦
Human shields to resolve the Strait Issue. No shame in hiding behind a skirtā¦.especially if it is a fashionable mini in a size 0 with leather boots.