[quote=“hansioux”][quote=“Ducked”]
Old, speculative post of course, but the last point seems pretty unlikely. Okinawan’s maybe aren’t/weren’t “strictly” Japanese, but Taiwanese aren’t/weren’t either, and I can’t see fanatical civilian Taiwanese resistance to an American invasion as very likely.
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So, can’t see it being worse than Okinawa.
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Like there still are people who aren’t strictly Chinese but heavily supports the KMT, there were plenty of Taiwanese people who weren’t strictly Japanese, but believed in the Anti-American brain washing so much, they were willing to give their lives for the protection of Taiwan, if not Japan. There were about 3 million military aged non-ethinic Japanese Taiwanese men at the time, 425,000 volunteered, 200,000 got enlisted, mostly put under transportation corps. Among all the aboriginals, less than 5,000 were deployed, but had the Americans landed in Taiwan, they would have made a difference.
One thing that Okinawa didn’t have is a large enough terrain for deep mountain/jungle guerrilla warfare. That type of terrain was abundant in Taiwan. If the Americans invaded Taiwan, professionally trained Aboriginals would be deployed on their home turf, armed with modern weapons, and would likely be joined by their tribesmen. During the war in the Pacific, over 70% of Aboriginal volunteers gave their lives. They were more likely to give their lives when it comes to “protecting their home.”[/quote]
Who knows? Post above on supply drop to aboriginals suggests they weren’t uniformly pro-Japanese, as does their history of anti-Japanese colonial resistance.
Re mountain/guerrilla warfare, as I said, why would you bother?
The arguments for taking Taiwan would presumably be use/denial of ports and airfields. These are on the coast/in the coastal plains. Specific threats against them from the mountains might require neutralisation, but generally containment would be enough.
Sorties onto the exposed plains would face destruction by US firepower. Plenty of examples of that pattern in, say, the Burma endgame, and plenty of examples of bypassed Japanese forces left to starve.