It would be more competitive, not very competitive. And this is only at 30,000 ft. The devil is always in the details.
In the technology industry, which is where the action is, Taiwanās wages are ages behind. As weāve discussed before, talented engineers in the US can easily earn 2x what their counterparts in Taiwan make (and multiples more than that in Silicon Valley). At 2% annual wage growth, it would take decades just to double salaries here.
Iām curious as to whether you see that happening and if you do, what the impetus would be. From what I see among local friends, very little is changing.
People are paid in NTD here and their wages have grown roughly 2 percent in NTD but NTD have been constantly but slowly appreciating against other currencies (including USD).
People are paid in NTD here and their expenses are denominated in NTD. A weaker USD might have the effect of reducing the cost of some imports but this is next to meaningless for the average Taiwanese in terms of their overall cost of living because the average Taiwanese is not living off of import goods to the extent that a 2% NTD increase in their wages would effectively feel like a 4% NTD increase in their wages.
The 2% real wage growth is particularly painful when you look at how much the cost of real estate has increased. Again, people arenāt selling real estate in USD.
If there is a surge, then youāve to use the new value of the NT in the denominator as well. You canāt have old value in one place and new in the other. That comparison makes no sense.