Well,I think both sides accepting the trajectory right now is possible conflict, but at least putting some barriers in place and reducing tensions, is a good thing
If the US thinks by reaching some kind of agreement with Xi means they have avoided conflict in the near future, and rest on their laurels, they are in for a rude awakening. The CCP historically doesnât honor treaties and agreements, and Xi is the worse offender in the CCP.
Isnât this kicking the can down the road? I find it fatalistic how people are sometimes like âphew⌠according to this analysis, Xi wonât invade for at least 2 yearsâŚâ Yeah, but arenât people (especially if theyâre Taiwanese and have no way out like us expats) concerned about the medium-term? This is an existential threat that isnât going away no matter how many times Xi and Biden speak. Being relieved that you and your familyâs and countryâs annihilation probably wonât happen for 3-5 years seems like cold comfort.
I think the narrative is, US and China admit they are in fierce competition, and that they both wonât back down on Taiwan. But both donât want a hot or Cold War , especially in the mid to short term, so tensions need to be cooled.
What is the other option, âletâs keep ramping everything up until we mutually destroy each other and the worldâ?
Iâd say the Chinese were hoping for the republicans to take the House and Senate. Xi wants the orange buffoon back in because he knows the US government would be paralyzed by his idiocy.
If anything the midterm election results have been the catalyst for kicking the can down the road.
Oddly enough they never turned up today. 3 police officers turned up instead. One of them was still wearing his black shoes and blue pants. Looks kinda weird in the gym.
Right after this happened, Warren Buffet announces heâs buying TSMC and becoming its fourth largest shareholder, and ASML announces it will expand in Taiwan by 2,000 jobs. The markets have spoken.
so TSMC makes chip in the US soon and Americans are becoming more controlling in their assets to the company. Doesnt seem optimal to be honest. God I hope Taiwan forces control in house at some point.
Yep. Trump didnât want to say boo against Xi on Hong Kong, and wouldâve thrown Taiwan under the bus in an invasion. Tariffs started jan 2018, but he only went hard over against China when Covid spun out of control.