Coronavirus - Taiwan 2021

National parks, leisure areas, beaches, schools ,
forestry bureau controlled areas, universities , most dorms , restaurants, playgrounds, many trails. No group sports or recreation activities. No classes. No concerts. No public games. No foreigners allowed enter except for residents .

Ah, OK, sounds about par for the course.

Nevertheless, I’m not a fan of the snitch-on-your-neighbours approach to infection control.

So you think there’s no difference between spying on people because of their political views and making sure everyone follows the laws regarding the control of a pandemic?

Btw, the fine if you got caught by the Stasi could easily be execution or a life in prison for you and your family. I also don’t remember that Taiwan is planning to execute people for not following lockdown restriction. But correct me if I am wrong.

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Gotcha. That doesn’t really restrict movement though. That just restricts activities. To me, a real lockdown restricts movement.

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Extracurricular activities are not classes though.

When the laws regarding the control of a pandemic are (a) unconstitutional and (b) unlikely to do any good, yes. As I said, this sort of thing has all sorts of unintended consequences. Trust is a critical public good, and a society that loses it can quickly degenerate into backwardness.

Thin end of the wedge. Fines for breaking silly rules are substantial and will probably be increased. Again, it’s counterproductive: it erodes trust in the State. When laws will only be followed when backed up by force, it’s usually because people disagree with those laws (or at least disagree with some aspect of them).

I invite you to consider the inherent absurdity of protecting people against their will.

I call it lockdown lite. Locking kids out of schools is a huge thing for parents .

Nevertheless our movements are highy restricted right now .Which is the general idea.

Although I don’t agree with closing outdoor recreational areas ! That to me is pretty dumb and mostly unnecessary if measures are thought through.

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But lockdown does not involve stopping online classes anyway.

Of course. As I said above, severe restriction of movement constitutes a lockdown to me.

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100% dumb.

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Ah, the typical argument “It’s against the constitution”.

Let’s take a look at the Constitution:

Article 23
All the freedoms and rights enumerated in the preceding Articles shall not be restricted by law except by such as may be necessary to prevent infringement upon the freedoms of other persons, to avert an imminent crisis, to maintain social order or to advance public welfare.

I am not a lawyer (maybe you are - not sure), but I would interpret that article that in case of a situation like the current one, those restrictions are actually constitutional!

Yeah, I know. Stupid laws requiring people to wear seat belts, helmets and stuff…

Maybe you can consider the option that these regulations also exist to protect hospitals from being overwhelmed and elderly citizens from catching the disease.

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How to say you’re American without saying you’re American:

Yes, because we all know it’s absurd to force people to wear helmets and to use seatbelts against their will.

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Actually, it is quite absurd.

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I might be wrong, but I thought @finley is British rather than American. I remember noticing that he spells certain words correctly.

So perhaps he wasn’t saying that.

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320 + 7 = 327 + 166 backdated = 493 and unfortunately 21 more deaths.

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Here’s to hoping they’ll announce level 4 today

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As a resident of Banqiao, I’ve been a little concerned to see we’re constantly second only to Wanhua, but this population density map seems to suggest a possible factor involved. However, the population numbers in this map are from 2009 and the latest population number listed for Banqiao is from 2016. Are there any more up to date numbers anywhere?

fat chance

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The general principle invoked is that the response to exceptional circumstances must be (a) proportional to the threat and (b) demonstrably effective.

Clauses such as these do not grant carte blanche for governments to do whatever they please just by declaring an ‘emergency’.

This discussion relates to European law, and is therefore not directly applicable, but since Taiwan advertises itself as a free society and a democracy, similar considerations arise:

lsaa011.pdf (search for this on google and then click the top search result - it does a watermarked download, so I can’t link directly).

If you fall off a motorcycle, then the obvious intervention that prevents death (and undue load on A&E) is to wear a crash-helmet. It’s not the only intervention - you could perhaps make all roads out of marshmallow - but it certainly offers the best cost/benefit tradeoff. Another possibility would be to charge helmetless squids the full cost of their medical treatment, which would be harsh but fair; that’s the way it’s actually done in some countries.

This sort of reasoning does not work with lockdowns. I won’t rehash the details all over again, but they generally involve a lot of costs and few benefits, and they are not the only way of ‘saving lives’. This business about “all the old people will die” is patent nonsense. It’s true that old people represent almost the entire death toll, but nowhere on the planet has there been a geriatric apocalypse, lockdowns or no. I’m tired of people repeating it. It’s false.

  • Sweden had 13500 deaths in the 65+ agegroup out of approximately 2.1 million, i.e., 0.64% of that age cohort.
  • Japan, the figure is about 10,000 out of 36 million, or 0.03%.
  • South Korea had about 1500 deaths in the older cohort, ie., a very small percentage.

The UK, in contrast, which did aggressive lockdowns, lost about 100,000 older people out of 8.7 million, or 1.15%. So in the absence of any additional information about “no lockdown” conditions (few countries were brave enough to try it), it looks like lockdowns cause additional deaths compared to more directed alternatives. Which means - at best - they don’t meet the test for either proportionality or effectiveness.

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At least it didn’t really spike on Friday as predicted by Ko. Can we sue the government for ‘reckless’ endangerment? Due the actions they took before it started.