Suga has quit. I guess next person is from same party, but at one time Renhō (蓮舫 Japanese-Taiwanese) was leader the 2nd party or Leader of the Opposition
(Leader of the Opposition (Japan) - Wikipedia) (before not now) wonder if she will have any part of the new gov.
The Prime Minister can only be chosen by the King on the advice of Parliament. Since the Liberal Democrats have a majority, it will be a Liberal Democrat.
Mr. Suga quit because he would likely lose a an election if called now or soon, so we will see if his low ratings will have LDP losses in the next election soon (seems has be before end of Nov)
Even if the Social Democrats has the most seats in parliament, I doubt their policy towards Taiwan would be any different. Right now it’s incredibly unpopular to be pro-China in Japan, just like how it is in the US.
Maybe, LDP seems will not have more than 50% so it depends who they partner with in the election. For now, two people have said that will try to PM, MP Sanae Takaichi (高市 早苗), haha two things for me she is female and her name is Kao City haha. Seems her English should be good as she worked for an USA MP in the past.
It’s very likely they will win a majority. While some seats are proportional, the majority of Japan’s MPs are elected by first past the post.
The last election, the Lib Dems only needed to win 33% of the votes to gain a majority because Japan’s parliamentary elections are 289 mini elections across the whole country.