[quote=“smerf”]…I think a better approach would have been to select an ardent Bush supporter as VP in order to hit Bush right in the heart of his strength. Latest polls show that among the “ardent Bush supporters” group, Bush leads Kerry 100% to 0%. Selecting a VP candidate from the ranks of these zealous Bushnatics, such as a fred smith or a Tigerman, could help Kerry gain some support from voters in the “ardent Bush supporters” group. If Kerry had selected fred smith or Tigerman as VP, I believe, at a minimum, that neither fred smith nor Tigerman would vote against himself in the November election since the sweet taste of power would be oh so close and oh so irresistible. Thus, even one vote would help Kerry close the gap with Bush among the “ardent Bush supporters” group since he has zero support from this group at this time.
Choosing Edwards was a tactical error which may cost Kerry his shot at the White House, IMHO.[/quote]
I humbly disagree with your analysis, smerf. The biggest problem I have with it is that it lies on a false premise.
You assume that members of the “ardent Bush supporters” group are capable of change. IMO, that’s false.
If you’re a Bush supporter even now, after seeing Bush in action for 3+ years, then the odds you’ll switch are, I believe, nearly nonexistent.
Bush’s theme is “steady leadership in times of change,” and his two big mantras are “optimism” and “stay the course.” He uses these mantras for a sound political reason: each best reflects the core values of those who count themselves as among “ardent Bush supporters.”
That is, they’ll stay the course, and they’ll go down in flames with the Bush ship, optimism likely intact.
So if Kerry had picked a member of this group, the result would have been a net loss to the Dems and no change to the GOP. The Dems lost voters would likely have gone to Nader, or sat out. In the likely event that Nader withdraws, this group probably splits between the Dems, the GOP, and sitting out the election.
In the end, then, the Dems suffer a net loss: those who flee to the GOP after Nader withdraws, plus those who sit out. If Nader stays in, the Dems still leak these fleeing voters to him anyway.
IMO, yours is advice I’m glad Kerry didn’t listen to. 
PS I think Edwards was a fine choice; he’s a hell of a speaker and oozes magnetism out the wazoo.
Plus he brings a huge asset to the ticket: his wife, Elizabeth. From what I hear, she’s the real deal, a real gem and she’s probably going to end up attracting as many voters as her husband. In fact, imo, any “ardent Bush supporters” Kerry/Edwards manages to peel away will likely be female and move to K/E due solely to Elizabeth and John (Edwards).