Michael Moore vs. Bill O'Reilly

The leftwing moron goes up against the rightwing crank. As a centrist I find both to be disturbing, parochial nutjobs, but Moore loses the debate because he is so utterly incoherent.

XXXXX DRUDGE REPORT XXXXX TUE JULY 27, 2004 16:02:35 ET XXXXX

MICHAEL MOORE/O’REILLY SHOWDOWN AT CONVENTION
Tue Jul 27 2004 16:51:50 ET

FOX NEWS is planning to air a redhot interview between Bill O’Reilly and boxoffice sensation Michael Moore on Tuesday.

The DRUDGE REPORT has obtained an embargoed transcript of the session:

Drudge Report

I didn’t think Moore did so badly. I think you just have a visceral reaction to him.

So what?

Moore couldn’t say, clearly anyway, under O’Reilly’s grilling why he gets to the correct conclusion, but he gets there.

What’s the big deal?

:idunno:

[quote=“flike”]I didn’t think Moore did so badly. I think you just have a visceral reaction to him.

So what?

Moore couldn’t say, clearly anyway, under O’Reilly’s grilling why he gets to the correct conclusion, but he gets there.

What’s the big deal?[/quote]
You’re right, I detest Michael Moore, possibly even more than I do Bill O’Reilly. Still, his argument falls apart, whereas O’Reilly’s does not. Mostly.

They’re both idiots.

You claim Moore gets to the “correct” conclusion, but I disagree. Any way you look at it, an honest, non-partisan estimation of the situation vis-a-vis WMDs in Iraq shows clearly that the intelligence was not as good as it could have been. Petulant rants that Bush “lied” are specious, partisan nonsense. But then, I suppose neither of us is going to change the other person’s mind, and as such, so it goes.

Do the ends (selectively removing one of the thirty brutal dictators in the world) justify the means (a contrived invasion and occupation of Iraq by a government most Iraqis regard as their sworn enemy)?

[quote=“flike”]I didn’t think Moore did so badly. I think you just have a visceral reaction to him.

So what?

Moore couldn’t say, clearly anyway, under O’Reilly’s grilling why he gets to the correct conclusion, but he gets there.

What’s the big deal?[/quote]

[quote=“porcelainprincess”]You’re right, I detest Michael Moore, possibly even more than I do Bill O’Reilly. Still, his argument falls apart, whereas O’Reilly’s does not. Mostly.

They’re both idiots.

You claim Moore gets to the “correct” conclusion, but I disagree. Any way you look at it, an honest, non-partisan estimation of the situation vis-a-vis WMDs in Iraq shows clearly that the intelligence was not as good as it could have been. Petulant rants that Bush “lied” are specious, partisan nonsense. But then, I suppose neither of us is going to change the other person’s mind, and as such, so it goes.[/quote]

Ok, but first we should agree on the conclusion that Moore reached.

Moore made the movie F9/11 in order to defeat Bush in November.

His conclusion, therefore, is that Bush isn’t fit to be President of the United States of America. You may disagree with this conclusion, the one I’m ascribing to Moore here, but I think it’s a fair one.

Moore wants to see Bush defeated. Why? Here’s why:

[quote=“porcelainprincess says that Drudge”]…O: It wasn

[quote=“flike”]Moore couldn’t say, clearly anyway, under O’Reilly’s grilling why he gets to the correct conclusion, but he gets there.

What’s the big deal?

:idunno:[/quote]

The conclusion no more justifies the argument than the ends justify the means, IMnsHO.

MM has his view of the world. You may agree with that view. But if his conclusion is reached dishonestly or illogically or randomly it is different than if you reach the same conclusion by sophisticated thinking.

Just as, I believe, Spook would not regard Bush so negatively if he had made the argument that we want to kick out Saddam as part of a strategic plan to democratise the middle east. Spook would, I think, judge it a fool’s errand but he would not judge it “contrived.”

[quote=“imyourbiggestfan”][quote=“flike”]Moore couldn’t say, clearly anyway, under O’Reilly’s grilling why he gets to the correct conclusion, but he gets there.

What’s the big deal?

:idunno:[/quote]

The conclusion no more justifies the argument than the ends justify the means, IMnsHO.

MM has his view of the world. You may agree with that view. But if his conclusion is reached dishonestly or illogically or randomly it is different than if you reach the same conclusion by sophisticated thinking.

Just as, I believe, Spook would not regard Bush so negatively if he had made the argument that we want to kick out Saddam as part of a strategic plan to democratise the middle east. Spook would, I think, judge it a fool’s errand but he would not judge it “contrived.”[/quote]

And if Bush didn’t tend to business in this strategic plan you ascribe to him- say he punted it all the way, or didn’t ever really pursue any coherent strategy in post-war Iraq - would that change your conclusion about him in a like fashion?

Sure. In fact, I think he fumbled the ball in the aftermath of the war.

Here is one example:

Rumsfeld was proven absolutely right that modern warfare (at least in the case of Iraq) does not require that the US commit large numbers of ground troops.

Unfortunately, modern security arrangements do require large numbers of troops. (I also think perhaps bremer did too much of a clean-out of the old security forces.)

I think Bush’s reasons for going to war were honest and reasonable. I think he has made mistakes since. And the intelligence on which the war was based was faulty too.

But it doesn’t make Bush a liar. And so, even though you reach the same conclusion as MM (Bush must go), you reach it by a different route and a more reasonable argument.

And the argument does matter - its the difference between being right by reason and being right by pure luck.

Well said, imyourbiggestfan. You illustrate perfectly why I’m a centrist.

Perfectly reasonable, imho.

It will be interesting to see the Summary, Part II of the US Senate Intelligence Cmte. report on the process used in the runup to war. It’s been delayed in a political agreement designed to get part I out asap in order to improve intelligence-gathering in the service of national security.

If the summary concludes that the Bush administration did alter the intelligence-gathering process in such a way as to support the case for war, rather than to objectify it, then I suspect we’ll have to suffer through an argument that Bush was wrong by pure luck, no? (joke - actually you’ve been eminently reasonable, IYBF, it’s the others I worry about)

imyourbiggestfan wrote

Right. everything Bush does is someone else’s fault when things turn out badly. Of course, when things go well, he is more than willing to take responsibility. He made the decision to go to war so he is ultimately responsible when things turn out badly. Why is it so difficult for you to understand that idea?

Yes it does and it makes you a fool for not being able to comprehend that fact.

Understand it perfectly. And I hold him accountable for the mistakes he made, those mistakes to which I alluded above.

Yes it does and it makes you a fool for not being able to comprehend that fact.[/quote]

No. I, like Mr T, believe that a lie depends not only on the accuracy of the information communicated but also the intent of the person telling it.

Though we are unlikely to agree on this notion, I regard it as so obvious, something I learnt as a little child no less, that I see you as rather infantile for being unable to grasp it.

@porcelainprincess, I have edited your post. Please do not quote lengthy articles in future, instead highlight the important parts and include a link.

Thanks for you cooperation.

Rascal,
Moderator IP Forum

IYBF, and that is the crux of it, you along with TM take Bushes statments as using part of the facts given to him and presenting those facts to the world.

THe removal/non use of certain facts was deliberate, ie done with intent, not accidental, and as such Bush lied as he did not qualify his statements with anything.
Why did he not qualify them, simply because it would have diluted the reason for war.

Had he qualified the statments then i would agree with your assertion that he did not lie, but he didn’t, therefore he lied.

[quote=“Traveller”]IYBF, and that is the crux of it, you along with TM take Bushes statments as using part of the facts given to him and presenting those facts to the world.

THe removal/non use of certain facts was deliberate, ie done with intent, not accidental, and as such Bush lied as he did not qualify his statements with anything.[/quote]

Well, bi-partisan and independent inquiries in the US and UK have not found this to be the case. They have said no undue pressure was put on the intelligence agencies. They have denied that anything was 'sexed up". And finally, George Tenet himself has supposedly said that WMDs were a “slam dunk.”

Mr T has put forward a reasonable argument that when your intel chief tells you its a “slam dunk” and you are faced with conflicting views, you damn well ought to favour the slam dunk view if national security is your number 1 priority.

Whereas I understand why you hold the views you do (and others with similar views) I cannot agree. I think that the more extreme version of these views is not backed up by much evidence. In addition, the less extreme version seems to suggest that only a verbatim repetition by Bush of the necessarily vague intel reports would do. I do not accept this as necessary or even viable when you are trying to make a clear decision. And so, along with the reports of the enquiries, I, personally, reject both versions. What was the economist cover? “Sincere deceivers” or some such? Probably about right. But not “liars.”

I note, however, that some have not got as far as even you. They see the fact that there were no WMDs as proof of a lie. And indeed, proof it most certainly is not!

[quote=“imyourbiggestfan”][quote=“Traveller”]IYBF, and that is the crux of it, you along with TM take Bushes statments as using part of the facts given to him and presenting those facts to the world.

THe removal/non use of certain facts was deliberate, ie done with intent, not accidental, and as such Bush lied as he did not qualify his statements with anything.[/quote]

Well, bi-partisan and independent inquiries in the US and UK have not found this to be the case. They have said no undue pressure was put on the intelligence agencies. They have denied that anything was 'sexed up". And finally, George Tenet himself has supposedly said that WMDs were a “slam dunk.”

Mr T has put forward a reasonable argument that when your intel chief tells you its a “slam dunk” and you are faced with conflicting views, you damn well ought to favour the slam dunk view if national security is your number 1 priority.

Whereas I understand why you hold the views you do (and others with similar views) I cannot agree. I think that the more extreme version of these views is not backed up by much evidence. In addition, the less extreme version seems to suggest that only a verbatim repetition by Bush of the necessarily vague intel reports would do. I do not accept this as necessary or even viable when you are trying to make a clear decision. And so, along with the reports of the enquiries, I, personally, reject both versions. What was the economist cover? “Sincere deceivers” or some such? Probably about right. But not “liars.”

I note, however, that some have not got as far as even you. They see the fact that there were no WMDs as proof of a lie. And indeed, proof it most certainly is not![/quote]

IYBF, there is no suggestion here of sexing up the data to fit, and the UK reports are aimed at the UK perspective, not the US, and the bipartisan report part II for the US is not yet released, we do not as yet know what it will say.
But selective use of certain facts without qualification that they do not represent the whole picture is as far as i am concerned as bad as sexing up data in the first place. It is done intentionally to create a false impression of the total picture. Hence why i disagree with your scenario as put forward by TM. It paints the picture that this is the ONLY view which was never the case.

And the reason why I disagree with you is that there was no total picture. Just a massive lump of conflicting intel. Its always going to be this way. And the guys in power are their to read and distil this on our behalf, subject, i might add, to the oversight of Kerry and the rest of the intel committee.

The data needed selective reading to make any sense. Any conclusion drawn from the data - whether to conclude for action or against it requires some kind of selective reading to back it up.

Unless, of course, you simply throw your hands up in the air, and say:“I don’t know. Its not clear.”

But then, you might as well ditch intel altogether. Because intel will always be unclear due to the huge amounts of misinformation you will be fed along with the good stuff.

So, no. i think your approach is impracticable (is that a word.) Did Bush and Blair do a great job of the case for war? No. Blair probably did a better job, but simply on the basis that he is a better public speaker. Could they have been more dogmatic about their strategic reasons for war? Yes, probably. With the benefit of hindsight, it might have made their life today easier.

But no, on the basis of what we now know, no lies were told.

[color=blue]"Only in three of those cases did we find anything at all, and in none of these cases were there any weapons of mass destruction, and that shook me a bit, I must say.

I thought - my God, if this is the best intelligence they have and we find nothing, what about the rest?"[/color]

Chief UN arms inspector Hans Blix on pre-war intelligence supplied by US and British governments which he had been assured would “be the best available.”

[quote=“imyourbiggestfan”]And the reason why I disagree with you is that there was no total picture. Just a massive lump of conflicting intel. Its always going to be this way. And the guys in power are their to read and distil this on our behalf, subject, i might add, to the oversight of Kerry and the rest of the intel committee.

The data needed selective reading to make any sense. Any conclusion drawn from the data - whether to conclude for action or against it requires some kind of selective reading to back it up.

Unless, of course, you simply throw your hands up in the air, and say:“I don’t know. Its not clear.”

But then, you might as well ditch intel altogether. Because intel will always be unclear due to the huge amounts of misinformation you will be fed along with the good stuff.[/quote]

But you seem to assume that this problem - lumpy, unformed intelligence or data that must be transformed into information - is a new one.

Not only is that assumption a false one, but it gets to the real problem with intel used to justify war on Iraq.

The US has a system whereby raw intelligence is transformed into information. Bush dismantled that process to a large degree. How? By choosing to selectively dismiss input from the CIA and/or State, he took the US’s process apart.

He also chose to establish a new Department of Defense organ, the Office of Special Plans, designed largely to justify the conclusions reached by skirting the old way. The OSP didn’t collect any new data, since that’s illegal under US law, but instead it was designed to get raw data (e.g., from the INC) before it underwent the old vetting process used by CIA and State or to get repackaged, existing data (e.g., Niger yellowcake claims) to Bush’s ear (i.e., the OSP acted as a stovepipe, distributing cherry-picked bits of intel - some of which were rejected outright under CIA or State vetting procedures - straight to Bush’s ear; this intel was stripped of old vetting, e.g., Niger yellowcake, or it never underwent any additional or new vetting).

It’s very difficult for me to conclude that “Bush did the best with the information he ‘was given’” when the effect of Bush’s actions was to rig the ‘was given’ part. Of course, that’s the object of the big Congressional investigation that’s been delayed until after the election.

True, but the truth is actually worse than mere lying on Bush’s part, imo. That is, his administration introduced bias into the US’s intelligence-vetting process, he acted on the biased output, and he was completely, 100% wrong: not only was the threat from Iraq not imminent, but there were no WMD in Iraq at all.

And Bush must be held accountable for his decisions and the actions he took.

Subject: infamous yellowcake ore from Niger

Fact: yellowcake uranium ore is no more lethal than dirt until it’s been laboriously enriched by gaseous separation or centrifuge.

Enrichment requires sophisticated industrial infrastructure and huge amounts of electric power which are easily observable by satellite.

Iraq had no such facilities.

Now what?