So this is interesting idea? Does Trump deserves Nobel award. Both are very conservative and right side, so maybe good partners.
YES!!! Exactly what I’ve been saying.
President Lai should have dropped the if. He should have said “President Trump is so great, he deserves the Nobel Peace prize because only he can convince Xi to drop invasion threats.” That would have been perfect.
Just imagine the crazy upswing in the economy if Xi went out and said that China wants to live in peace with its neighbors including Taiwan ![]()
Removing the fear factor of war in AP would sky rocket the stock markets ![]()
The economic benefits in both China and Taiwan. We’d be unstoppable.
I don’t know which assistant or which aide came up with this idea. Whoever they are, they deserve a raise. ![]()
Guy
I was reading an article that China’s GDP could increase by 1-2% a year if they remove all risks of capital from a potential invasion.
If you read any textbook, they will tell you China got rich when Deng opened up the south. The real simple reason China got rich is the gov got out of the way. Say what you want about the Chinese when it comes with Taiwan and human rights, they are industrious.
Xi has been doing the opposite. Don’t get too big like Jack Ma. Local gov is no longer the wild west doing what they want to grow their region.
I don’t know if this model is going to work too well long term.
Trump would sell out Taiwan for a few million in Bitcoin.
Tens of millions you mean. He’s no nickel and dime Joe Biden.
almost like Lai is trolling
it’d be the eighth war Trump ends
Believing Trump has the diplomatic aptitude to successfully handle the Taiwan Strait issue is like believing a gorilla can solve a Rubik’s cube.
At this point, anyone who thinks this oaf is even remotely capable to do so are probably gorillas too.
But hey, if this pompous gorilla takes this banana, whatever works.
China wants to be the sole global hegemon at most, part of a duopoly with the US at least.
Still recovering their image from negative COVID PR
Analyzing Russia’s branding swirling the drain thanks to their brutish invasion of Ukraine
Seeing how Trump has traded US soft power projection worldwide for mob boss-tier shakedowns and ring kissing ceremonies…
Why would China feel the compulsion to invade anytime soon? With China’s primary diplomatic competition being so laughably self-destructive right now, all they need to do is come across as the better (read: even slightly less shitty) option for the world to get behind. It’s a fucking gold rush level of opportunity, regarding further chipping away at US soft power. The bar is VERY LOW right now to be seen as the most civilized, stable adult in the room.
A kinetic invasion of Taiwan would be the equivalent of throwing shit into the world’s ceiling fan. Why would they squander this diplomatic field day offered up by the Trump admin, and instead antagonize the semiconductor dependent developed world all at once? How myopic that would be - remember it’s Trump that has myopia in spades.
So yeah, ironically I think Taiwan is safe from any unexpected invasion for now. Trump selling Taiwan down the river for random xyz and/or further enriching he and his cronies is my main concern.
The first sensible comment in the thread
Or hallucinating, in what reality can the dumpster convince Xi to give up Taiwan?
I would bet on the gorilla first
Because it isn’t going to get any easier than it is now
I mean if you subtract the whole “crazy administration with nukes who have already shown they have no issue violating international law” angle, sure I guess.
But think of second, third order effects. They get Taiwan sure, but they squander a TON of respect from the world at large - and that is just the tip of the iceberg. I think when the cons are weighted against the pros, the victory (if that is even possible with all of the defense options Taiwan has at its disposal) becomes pyrrhic very quickly.
Why not continue expanding their BRI and continue salami slicing away at the rich and politically connected here to try to mold Taiwanese society into becoming more and more pro-China instead? They satisfy their objective without jeopardizing their relationship with the rest of the world via looking like thugs/supply chain issues/world war 3.
They have much more to lose by overplaying their hand here. Trump has bolstered their long game strategy and is possibly catalyzing the harvest, not given them a different method through which to win. The risk is just too much for any country to tolerate.
Of course he can’t. The point of this ruse is to flatter DJT, get him to smile and feel good like a little boy who has been praised, and consequently get him off our back for a bit until he’s distracted by something else, or keels over with a heart attack, or whatever.
Guy
Read up a bit on Tibet, Xinjiang, and Hong Kong. The world doesn’t care
They’re doing that anyways, and have been for years. Not great for KMT elections, is it? It might bear fruit, but if it doesn’t and the window closes, they’re Xi outta luck.
You asked why they would, I have an obvious answer. They might not, probably won’t even, but they must be wondering it now is possibly the best it will get for them
Wolf warrior diplomacy, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine, both demonstrate that they might not agree with you
