I’m amazed there are actual Russian apologists here. Never seen one in the wild before, aside from obvious paid trolls on social media.
This is all Putin’s fault. Ukraine was no threat to Russia. I agree that NATO expansion could be seen as “threatening”, but in reality, none of NATO, Europe or America wanted to invade Russia. We have never been a threat to their territory.
If Ukraine wants to “join” with the west, what’s wrong with that? If Putin doesn’t like it, he could have tried offering them something better. Try being a better partner that other countries will actually want to work with. Instead he resorted to violence, terrorism, nuclear threats and blackmail.
He took Crimea and the west kinda shrugged it off. Instead of being satisfied with that, and getting away with it, he has escalated and it has turned into an epic miscalculation. Now he earns himself:
Sanctions on himself and his contacts
Immense damage to the Russian economy
Trashing the reputation of Russia and Russians worldwide
Strategic alienation, especially as the EU becomes independent of Russian energy. Once they’ve moved away they won’t be coming back, no matter what happens in Russia
Turning Ukraine and Zelensky into heroes in the eyes of billions. In January I bet most Europeans or Americans couldn’t find Ukraine on a map. In reality, it’s a poor, fairly corrupt and crappy country. Now they had a massive positive publicity boost
Earning himself a 1,000km+ border with NATO, when Finland joins
Germany and others spending €110B+ on their militaries
Uniting the EU. For the most part, most petty disputes and rifts are ignored
Repairing EU-UK relations
Closening US-UK and US-EU relations
Huge damage to his military. Some of his most skilled troops are dead. Lots of equipment is destroyed or captured, and it will be difficult to replace. Hard to build anything advanced when you don’t have any more access to microchips. Now they’ll have to source from black markets.
And finally, the CIA and MI6 will be having a LOT of fun taking apart all the various Russian tech which Ukraine has captured.
So even if Putin does manage to walk away with a bit of land from Eastern Ukraine, is that a “win”? A bunch of bombed out, impoverished, towns with ruined infrastructure. More land mass, which Russia wasn’t exactly short of.