If China invades Taiwan, should the US intervene militarily?
- Only if it’s an unprovoked invasion
- Not if Taiwan provoked the invasion with formal TI
- Not at all. Let the Taiwanese defend themselves
- No, the cost of intervening would be too great for US
- Yes, regardless of the circumstances.
Do you support the US intervening militarily on behalf of Taiwan if the PRC invades?
I think the PRC has built up area denial capabilities over the last decade that could easily sink a US aircraft carrier. If war breaks out between the PRC and the US over Taiwan, the PRC is likely to use assymetrical warfare, targeting electrical grids, telecommunications, and transportation networks in the US with cyber-warfare.
Arguably, the PRC’s cyberwarfare defenses are better prepared than US cyberwarfare defenses. Every year, hackers from the PRC target DoD and intelligence networks in the US. President Obama admitted that current US cyberdefenses are weak.
President Clinton sent two carrier groups into the Taiwan Strait in 1996. A bold action like that is unlikely to happen again considering the PRC’s growing military capabilities. In 2007, a Chinese submarine surfaced next to the USS Kitty Hawk unnoticed. The PRC also has developed a DF-21 cruise missile that can strike a moving target at sea at supersonic speed.
Considering the changing dynamic, do you think the US should still intervene militarily on behalf of Taiwan?