I disagree. I think there’s no way any armed conflict happens.
My predictions
- Status quo, very likely
- China slowly pressures the rest of the world to accept their control over Taiwan and the KMT/others see no other way and basically give in. There will be some benefits for them. Taiwan basically continues as is, or how HK was. This will take a long time.
- Xi gets the boot, he’s not popular in the party
Not too get too off topic