Ok, this past ten days has been both tragic and amusing. Tragic in that people have lost their lives from Tropical Storm Kilmaegi and Typhoon Fung-wong. However, watching the reaction to the KMT to the work of the Central Weather Bureau has been rather amusing.
First, with Kilmaegi, President Ma himself criticized the bureau for a less than accurate forecast. While it is true, the forecast was inaccurate. However, the sharp left turn the storm took to hit Ilan County was truly unpredictable. Anyone who has any knowledge of such storms knows that they are quite unpredictable and that cone you see on forecasts is a range of only 70% certainty. That means that 30% of the time, it will come outside of that cone. 30% is pretty significant. Heck, Dustin Pedroia could get a base hit 30% of the time and be considered a successful baseball player. Additionally, no one else made the prediction correctly either. The JMA, JTWC, and PAGASA all predicted that the storm would continue northward into the East China Sea and toward the Korean Peninsula. Seeing Ma and other KMT lackeys criticize the CWB was rather comical though a sad lack of leadership.
Then, the next day, the KMT Legislative Yuan had the gall to blame former President Chen for not doing enough to upgrade flood control infrastructure. Excuse me? Didn’t President Chen propose a comprehensive upgrade of this infrastructure? Didn’t the legislature then (out of their love for Taiwan I am sure) then proceed to stall the bill for more than a year before finally passing it? What hypocrisy!
Then today, with a storm that the CWB got pretty accurately, the KMT STILL criticizes the CWB. Watching Mayor Hau criticize the CWB on TV for not getting the exact time of the rainfall correct was just too much. If you can do such a good job, YOU take over the CWB. Weather is difficult to predict. Tropical cyclones are particularly tricky creatures to forecast. Add to that that the country of Taiwan has the highest mountains in East Asia, and you have a very difficult mix to predict both track and precipitation for the storm. That the CWB got the track nearly exactly right and came pretty close in many areas in terms of precipitation predictions is to their credit. They shouldn’t be forced by ignorant KMT political hacks to make needless apologies. This is an absolute abrogation of leadership.
Sad. Truly sad that Taiwan has to suffer this bunch of fools for the next 45 1/2 months.