Taiwan should consider giving large child credits

Are you going to choose? Sounds like you would.

Choose what?

How families are defined? They take all forms, you wrote. What does that mean? African families should adopt Chinese babies?

That’s the problem with having an economic model dependent on the pyramid scheme of infinite population growth.

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Crowded with long lines doesn’t mean overpopulated.

You don’t need to live in Taiwan to know that a super-aged population is national suicide. Fewer and fewer workers supporting more and more old people.

You don’t need to live in Taiwan to know that older people are more stubborn and get stuck in their ways with inefficient management practices.

I didn’t say they were welcomed, only that (1) people know they’re needed and

I don’t need to live in Taiwan to know that a super-aged population is a strain on fewer and fewer workers. I don’t need to live in Taiwan to know that old people are stubborn and keep
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Most people here do not think immigrants are needed, just low cost labour. If those jobs had local pay rates there would be less need to import workers.

What on earth are you taking about? Families taking on all forms means neither of us get to choose how they are defined.

Yet that is what you seem to be advocating.

Didn’t China try that?

You have everything backwards. It’s less a pyramid scheme if we more workers paying for relatively fewer old people.

But I’m sure the Social Security Administration will buy your grandiose, non-Quixotic plan and stay solvent.

Need them, want them, whatever.

You “seem to” have an active imagination.

And nobody is talking about mandating reduced reproduction. Ditch the straw man BS if you want to have a conversation.

So you’re saying it’s not a pyramid scheme as long as the pyramid keeps growing. Have you considered a career in “multi-level marketing”?

The SSA is a perfect example of a pyramid scheme based on infinite population growth. Thanks for contributing to my point.

You’re the one concerned with population growth. I am simply trying to get a clearer picture of what you mean. That’s why I ask questions. Don’t get all homer on me now. You think the world is overpopulated. Why? You think people shouldn’t procreate more than the replacement rate…how would that even be administered/legislated/enforced if not by using a similar one child policy?

I’m not saying it should be legislated or mandated. I’m saying it’s a good thing when it happens as a natural result of a growing middle class and increased access to education and family planning. It sure as hell shouldn’t be fought or discouraged.

They probably don’t want to. At the end of the day, Taiwanese people are what makes this place great. Immigration has been very damaging in many western countries when it has not been well controlled or selective enough. Locals reject it. You get all sorts of cultural issues from the loss of harmony. I don’t think it would be a benefit to Taiwan overall.

If Taiwan is going to attract and bring in people with real skills who pay tax etc, that would be one thing. No country has a problem with that. But a bunch of backpacker types or unskilled teachers… not exactly a great contribution if we’re totally honest. It’s only worth increasing the population if they’re going to be net contributors.

The real reforms should be measures to increase the population. Encourage women to have children earlier, and structure laws (employment, maternity etc) around it. And the housing situation needs to be improved. If 3 bedrooms costs 2500wan, it doesn’t promote large families either.

I agree with you, except I don’t think there needs to be that much selection. People aren’t going to come to Taiwan if no one wants to hire them.

Do you know how a pyramid is shaped?

In a pyramid scheme, more and more people are owed money without money to pay them. That’s exactly what you get when you have a declining population.

Which is kinda where we are anyway:

Population in the world is currently (2020) growing at a rate of around 1.05% per year (down from 1.08% in 2019, 1.10% in 2018, and 1.12% in 2017). The current average population increase is estimated at 81 million people per year. Annual growth rate reached its peak in the late 1960s, when it was at around 2%.

I believe the book Factfulness has a LOT to say about this. Good read all around.

I agree. Society can’t sustain so many elderly at current birthrates.

No, what makes it a pyramid scheme is that it’s depending on infinite exponential growth that can’t be sustained. When the rate of growth inevitably starts to taper off, the whole thing crashes.

You’re equating the scheme with only the inevitable crash rather than the system (the scheme) that is set up to be dependent on the inevitable never occurring.

Well, that’s why immigration laws need retooling.