Well, not much change there compared to the previous one - while the CWB forecast seems to have gotten closer to the one from the US (i haven’t saved any of the earlier images, so i can only give a subjective impression)…
It is interesting to see the resuilts of different storm modeling systems:
The American forecast has the typhoon pass to the east of Taiwan during the day of the 28th
usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/R … wp0411.gif (add 8hrs to the times shown)
The Japanese forecast has it pass half a day later than the American one
jma.go.jp/jp/typh/1102.html
The Taiwanese forecast has it pass yet another half day later than the Japanese one
cwb.gov.tw/eng/typhoon/ty.htm?
There’s more certainty around now that it will miss Taiwan, anyhow. Perhaps east coast will get some light rain from the outer bands. Sea should be up though. Strength is a sustained Cat-4 now, early in the season for such a well-formed phoon.
Last year someone posted links to a weather guy on a US Navy ship(?) who was fantastic at explaining the typhoons. Does anyone have a link? 
The different reports show different times because some use their local time zones where other reports use Zulu time. You need to figure out which time zone they are using.
typhoon eye has consolidated today, check it out, it’s a thing of beauty.
Thanks for pointing out that important point:
Two of the three forecasts i have referred to use UTC and one Japanese time (UTC +9hrs) - my comments take that into account. Not sure about other reports, though…
Yeah, Wednesday went off without a hitch, so I guess now the weekend being mucked up is all I have left to hope for.
I can’t understand why wunderground.com has a zero % chance of rain for the weekend (Kaohsiung). It looks almost for certain that the typhoon will miss Taiwan but I find it hard to believe that all of Taiwan isn’t going to get rain from it. And it is a really impressive storm and things don’t look good for Okinawa.
IIRC optimum foon months for the wan are June to August. Theres less in Sept and Oct. May isnt a huge typhoon month for the wan going from memory. But where are your plum rains? Aint ya supposed to have them now or end May/early June?
Just come and fading out now.
I can’t understand why wunderground.com has a zero % chance of rain for the weekend (Kaohsiung). It looks almost for certain that the typhoon will miss Taiwan but I find it hard to believe that all of Taiwan isn’t going to get rain from it. And it is a really impressive storm and things don’t look good for Okinawa.[/quote]
Well, today’s weather forecasters were saying that Friday and Saturday will be rainy, but Sunday the weather will be awesome! Go out! Go to Pinglin Tea Festival! That kind of stuff.
steady rain hitting Hualien and Ilan coast now, looks like an outer tentacle of the Phoon, although there are no other rain bands behind it on the radar. Drip, drip, drip.
[quote=“Icon”][quote=“Abacus”]
I can’t understand why wunderground.com has a zero % chance of rain for the weekend (Kaohsiung). It looks almost for certain that the typhoon will miss Taiwan but I find it hard to believe that all of Taiwan isn’t going to get rain from it. And it is a really impressive storm and things don’t look good for Okinawa.[/quote]
Well, today’s weather forecasters were saying that Friday and Saturday will be rainy, but Sunday the weather will be awesome! Go out! Go to Pinglin Tea Festival! That kind of stuff.[/quote]
I’m not a meteorologist but the satellite image shows rain in the 7 to 8 o’clock position currently west of the Philippines that will almost surely hit Taiwan unless it fizzles out by then.
Pretty picture! 
No wind but it is raining buckets down south in Taidong.
Hope we don’t get any more landslides!!
Ehem, now that we are into high tech… is there an app for following the typhoons? Not only weather, I mean.
I’ve been looking as well. There’s a number of them for the US east coast. I’ve simply added a bookmark of bear’s post on p.3 of this three to my homescreen. Bring that up, refresh, and you’ve got the current track for this storm.
Looks like it’s been “cats and dogs” in Yilan all day, it’s accumulated some there. Rain eased off here in Hualien this afternoon, and there was some wonderful moody scenery with thick low cloud drifting along the valley sides.
But raining again solidly now.
Radar also shows some heavy bands moving in towards Taidong for later on, keep an eye on that…
But there’s not been a drop of rain on the west coast all day!
Wind’s starting to pick up now in Taidong. Raining pretty hard as well.
Hope this sucker makes a hard right turn!