So with the US withdrawl from Afghanistan and indeed the entire Middle East, the worlds worst kept secret is the next war will be in Asia, with China in the US crosshairs.
2 recent events have complicated things:
1/ The recent visit by the VP to Vietnam. Vietnam is first choice as a potential flashpoint. With a substantial land border this would be the perfect launching pad for military action against China.
However this plan appears to have failed as Vietnam has clearly refused to be drawn into confrontation with China - despite being given a coast guard boat.
2/ Last weeks QUAD meeting - with India being the key chess piece.
This also seems to have failed given the extremely muted press release with a lack of rhetoric against China. Furthermore India, despite having a land border with China is not a good launching pad for military intervention in China with the Himalayas in the way.
What are the next viable options?
A South China Sea incident with a US warship colliding with and getting sunk by a gigantic Chinese container ship is another possibility but might be a hard sell to to the international community.
This leaves “defending Taiwan” as the only clear pretext for selling the next war.
What do people think? Is the unthinkable really going to happen? War between two nuclear powers with Taiwan in the middle?