If one looks through a short term lens, sure. 10, 20 years. The issue is Taiwan has not much else going for it in reality (meaning, what do other countries need). Natural resources, democracy, love, peace etc. No global entity cares about this, at least not in any meaningful way, until its too late. The USA is famous for this, not caring until too late or just âcaringâ to get global strategic footholds on resources. Taiwan is meaningless. Labor is expensive here now, thus why most manufacturing here is going away. Only high tech is managing here in a very important way. What does Taiwan have to offer the world? If you just use the TSMC story, letâs use 50 years as a rough number. Is everyone sure the US, or other countries, cannot compete with tsmc in a half century timeline? How about a full century? I feel this is naive, and the future apologies about why the predictions were wrkng dont actually matter because Taiwan will be gobbled up by China by then, without intervention.
The real issue is this is actually existential for Taiwan. It isnât existential for the USA. If people donât get that point, they wont understand how retarded a move this really is. The key point being, NOW is the time taiwan is good at it (well, we should have negotiated better theast dew dexades as well, but here we areâŚ) not 50 years later. Thus, NOW, is the time to negotiate proper protection, security, alliances and etc whilst we still have cards to play. Meanwhile we are losing diplomatic relationships, even those we lay for, and maintain the tiniest and, sadly, the most useless, ties. All the countries that claim they hold the same beliefs, ethics etc and have strong economic ties with Taiwan sell their souls for communist China and the country that constantly threatens war. The irony is great, trumped knly perhaps by greed. It wont be forgotten.
When we lose these cards (variou tech superiority), what will we have to negotiate with? Truthfully, and historically, when has the tiny land mass with more morals ever won against the protection over the the ones that control the supply chain? Who protected them? Itâs almost always a: letâs be greedy for as long as possible then when shit gets too real have a massive war and reset the clock. Itâs what **doesnât ** set us apart from the basic biological norms that exist everywhere.
Itâs time to be real fucking pragmatic before we waste away into 3rd worldism and lose our only strategic advantage. The usa has not commited anything on paper to tonprotect Taiwan from chjna post abandoning Taiwan. They donât seem to have any plans to commit to security. They rely on ambiguity, which kight be better than nothing. But somethings also better than nothing. Itâs bonkers. It boggles my mind how so many argue against this objective reality when its on display and i writing/recorded video everywhere. The US also had the nads to tell Taiwan what weapons they xan evolo, without promise of protection against China. And now we are stuck following their willâŚor elseâŚ
We need tonuse our leverage hard, now, while we still have any. We will lose this leverage soon, (few decades), then what???
What am I missing?