Taiwan doesnt have to do more then what it is planning to do anyways. And the Phil govt doesnt stand to lose too much.
By sticking to its guns, the Phil is saying “stay out of our 200 mile economic zone”. It will only lose a little bit on the employment of its peoples side. Only 87,000 out of TEN MILLION Phil overseas workers work in Taiwan , is a figure that has been touted.
The TW govt will not kick out the workers currently on Taiwan. It will only not employ new ones and will not renew contracts. So eventually over 3 years there will be no philippino workers in Taiwan.
The TW govt will escort its fishing boats when in the overlap area now.
Just like every now and then sending CG boats over to the SEnkakus. Until now Jpan and TW have signed a fisheries agreement.
TW will do the same and send boats with its fishing boats in the overlap areas.
The TW boats will not enter the 12 mile territorial waters of the Philippines.
But they will engage if the Phil CG or Navy comes out to engage the TW military in the overlap zones.
SHOTS WILL BE FIRED.
Thats tommys synop.
p.s. I think the Phil will drag its feet on this for some time. New workers will not be hired. I think the Phil CG and Navy will not be seen in the overlap zones for some time and neither will its fishing boats.
I dont think the 72 hour ultimatum is unfair. The Chinese wouldve done worse.
OF course TW should not compare itself with the Chinese though.
Phil workers are not “needed” in Taiwan because the Indonesians and Vietnamese can fill the vacuum.
The Phil workers may be higher value workers because of their good english and there have been few problems. Whereas there have been more problems with Thai laborers (who are men usually). But they are replaceable if need be.
IF it was up to me, and it isnt. Id say a country’s territorial waters should extend to 100 miles (from the 12 now) and overlap zones should be 50/50 with the overlapping countries. And each side should stay in their own zone.
Or even better, 50 miles territorial zones and NO FISHING by anyone outside of a countries 50 mile zone.
We need to let the fish repopulate.
Also like to see a ban on capture of large ocean animals, including whales, dolfins, sharks, sting rays, sunfish, seals, etc etc.
Basically fish farming in coastal waters only and ending all fishing with fishing boats !