The semiconductor industry isnt much of a consideration. That’s not the reason they want Taiwan.
General thinking is that once they have Taiwan, then Okinawa and the other US bases are indefensible. This is the reason that the US will go to war for Taiwan. Once they lose the first island chain, they lose that Indo Pacific.
It’s all about the geography baby, everything else is just noise
Who knows. Heard some of houses in China for whatever. Maybe they will form a Vichy style puppet regime like you said
My point is that there is no THE REASON
I’m on board for the first island chain rationale, but I still think it is too simple to see that as the only reason they want Taiwan
It’s the main reason, the other stuff China could give up on. Like someone said, if Taiwan was Mongolia, they might have given up on it already.
Yeah you are right, there are some romantics in the party who are true believers and get hard on the reunification stuff, but most are pragmatists. And there are some who would want war for internal propaganda. But it’s relatively minor
I can understand China’s viewpoint to a certain extent, the US has built a defensive chain around it in its own backyard and now they are strong, they want to get them to fuck off and at least be the regional hegemon in Asia.
Article from Forbes on why china won’t go to war with Taiwan for semiconductor. TLDR, they wouldn’t be able to run the fabs and you couldn’t get Taiwanese engineers to do under duress
Yeah, they probably won’t go to war only for the semi-conductors. But if they can take over through some means short of war of aggression they might not need duress to keep the system turning over. This is a pragmatic perspective.
Read the article. You can’t just keep it chugging over. It’s a highly highly skilled and complex process
I’m sure it is, but for the same reason Taiwanese people are going to China and helping them now, it could still keep happening. I was very specific that they probably prefer to take over through methods short of war, the article I just skimmed a bit and didn’t see that distinction.
This is not a plug-and-play business. There is an immense amount of human know-how and expert technical skill involved in operating this mega-machine. Even if China were to find itself in intact possession of the physical infrastructure in Taiwan’s foundries tomorrow, would they know how to run it on their own? Of course not. They don’t have the experience. (Mainland Chinese IC companies have been frantic to recruit Taiwanese experts to help get their operations going.) Following a takeover, the new Chinese owners would still be heavily reliant upon the highly-skilled Taiwanese workforce they had just “annexed.” It takes little imagination to see how disaffection, or outright defection, of key employees could become the proverbial monkey wrench. The cotton fields in Xinjiang may be workable with forced labor, but an IC foundry is not.
Like Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
Ok than defend yourself on your terms. Give rights to emigrants or you are on your own. Taiwan has never paid USA for protection.
They’ll be thirty days of mobilizing and sabre-rattling prior to an invasion like there was in Ukraine and Iraq. The wise will use that time to leave. Any westerners who stay will end up in internment camps being used as bargaining chips if they’re lucky. Taiwan’s leaders will vanish in the night, leaving chaos and disorganization behind. The U.S. won’t go to war with China over its invasion of Taiwan, ending any ‘strategic ambiguity’ on the subject.
The TWD will be worthless. Any property owned by citizens of countries hostile to the invaders will be confiscated.
This guy says if China is about to invade, the US will most likely send in soecial ops demolition teams to blow up the semiconductor factories and any and all US military jets, hardware, etc that was sold to Taiwan in an effort to keep those out of the hands of the Chinese.
A bleak take on the situation for sure.
Like it did in Afghanistan?
ha!
Dont ask me, ask the General in the video. 
I hope he’s right.
people saying we should listen to experts for vaccines, but don’t listen to generals and experts in east Asia pacific security affairs.
The US would be handing China Taiwan on a silver platter if what he is saying is true.
I hope he’s right that the U.S. would see to it that any U.S. military hardware doesn’t fall into the hands of the commies. One reason being because the U.S. will need them as spare parts once it can no longer source key components from China for its military hardware.
CBN news lol.