[quote=“Oxtail”][quote=“FurTrader”]Without the U.S., Taiwan has zero chance against a Chinese invasion.
Unfortunately, it is clear that the US can’t do a thing to defend a small country against a large country. (i.e. Ukraine against Russian Federation) Russia knows the US lacks the economic strength, military might, and political to do anything to help Ukraine at the moment.
If China launches an invasion against Taiwan tomorrow night, what is the US going to do? Nothing. Absolutely nothing. Sad but true. Taiwan may survive for a week to a month… but eventually, the only option is capitulation. Look at how pathetic those Ukranian soldiers looked when they marched out of their bases in Crimea under Russian guns. Okay, fine, there is the other option for Taiwan, which is to fight until the bitter end. U.S. sanctions against China? Fogetaboutit… it will hurt the US a lot more. People in the U.S. won’t even be able to buy tidy whities at their local Walmarts.[/quote]
A trade war hurts the country that relies on exports a lot more than the country that imports everything because it’s a few dollars cheaper. The US would just need to find another country willing to sell stuff. Which is like every developing country in the world. Countries like Vietnam, Thailand, and Mexico would jump to land the hundreds of billions in orders that would be on the market if the US dumped Chinese manufacturing. Worse comes to worst, the US just starts manufacturing it’s own goods. Prices go up, but you produce a lot of jobs. China would need to find a massive market willing to run up a huge trade deficit to buy their goods. Not sure such a market exists in the world that could absorb the massive amount of goods they produce each year outside of the US.
People in the US would have to pay a little more for junk at Walmart. Meanwhile people in China get thrown out of jobs as factories shut down.[/quote]
I dont think that is right. Mexico and Thailand would not be able to take the place of China. China has complete control over the supply chain for a lot of products, especially in Guandong. Thats what stops a lot of companies leaving China despite rising prices and ridiculous bureaucracy.