USA new CEO, President Trump: Is it good for the stock market

This one.

Any thoughts on aftreguy not getting personal?

For fun I ran this post through grok for a quick logic check, as I suspected Monsieur Guy was off base.

Grok: The logic has some strengths but is undermined by fallacies and factual imprecision. The core premise is sound: It identifies a potential inconsistency between valuing anti-sexual harassment stances and praising someone accused (and found liable) of related misconduct. This appeals to logical consistency in one’s beliefs and actions.

However, the argument commits a tu quoque (or “you too”) fallacy by shifting focus from the substance of the original claim (Trump’s positive effect on the stock market) to the poster’s personal hypocrisy, rather than directly refuting the economic point. It assumes that acknowledging a “good year” in the stock market under Trump equates to full endorsement of him as a leader, ignoring nuances like separating policy outcomes from personal character. People can critique moral failings while recognizing economic benefits without contradiction.

Additionally, there’s a factual error in the claim that Trump was “found guilty by a jury of sexual assault.” In the 2023 E. Jean Carroll civil trial, a jury found him liable (not “guilty,” which implies a criminal conviction) for sexual abuse and defamation, awarding $5 million in damages. The jury explicitly rejected the rape allegation but upheld sexual abuse, which is a form of non-consensual sexual contact under New York law—often colloquially called sexual assault, but the precise legal term matters for accuracy. This exaggeration weakens the logical foundation, as it risks dismissal if the original poster points out the civil vs. criminal distinction.

Reasoning

The reasoning is more emotive than analytical, relying on an appeal to emotion (pathos) by invoking “heart” and moral squaring, which can be effective in personal confrontations but lacks depth for robust debate. It doesn’t provide evidence or alternatives—e.g., no data on stock market performance under Trump vs. other factors, or exploration of how one might reconcile economic praise with moral criticism. Instead, it jumps to an assumption of internal conflict without substantiating why such praise inherently dismisses harassment concerns.

Strengths include building on the original poster’s own words (the “CEO” framing and thread), which shows attentiveness and strengthens the hypocrisy angle. Weaknesses: It overlooks compartmentalization (e.g., one can view Trump as beneficial economically while condemning his personal actions) and doesn’t address broader contexts like market influences beyond presidency (e.g., global events, Fed policies). Overall, the reasoning is superficial and ad hominem-leaning, prioritizing gotcha moments over constructive dialogue, which limits its persuasive power in logical discourse.

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Interesting discussion.
Question: How many people in this thread crediting Trump’s actions and affect on the stock market in 2025 (in a non-political way, of course :roll_eyes:) similarly credited Biden’s affect in 2024?
Point of reference:
S&P 500 up over 23% in 2024
S&P 500 up over 16% 2025 YTD

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Yeah the economy isn’t actually doing that great under Trump and unemployment has ticked up.

I care to make money now, so I can retire and not worry about money. Is that bad, and what do I care about internal matters in the United States? People voted him in and that’s their choice. About crime in Taiwan, I worry since I like a low-crime Taiwan (and Ireland) so I make comments when a group is crime prone.

Others worry too

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You are very hypocritical about women’s rights. For money you seem to have thrown them out the window pretty quick. But poor Indians got a lot of your attention in contrast.

I personally don’t think Trump is good for economic growth, he is just looking around grifting for himself and his supporters mainly. And the chip industry was brought back by Biden policies not Trump. Auto manufacturing has reduced under Trump I bet.

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You also posted, ha

Well, I spend a lot more time n USA&Taiwan&Japan stock markets (maybe too much)

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Yeah but I don’t overlook Trump is probably a rapist and all round horrible person nor would I ever support him just to make money. It seems you’d welcome him to Taiwan to make money yeah even though he’s a total sleazebag.

Besides as I pointed out he is no economic genius , he got his ass owned by China but the US is so polarized and so messed up and he has so much power to do anything he wants they just move onto the next thing.

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ah, I wirte more later, going 0ut for weekend brunch. (Go to Central Park at night, nice lights and snacks, went last night)

You need to learn the difference between a criminal prosecution and a civil lawsuit.

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Well he’s got form as they say. Loads of real sleazy stuff out there about him. He used to run into the teen dressing roms when naked. Boasted about grabbing women by the pussy (assault). One of his best friends was Epstein.

Also that civil verdict was upheld even though he has tried his best to get it thrown out.

The guy is an out and out sleazebag and grifter.

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I believe Carroll but I also believe in making an effort to be accurate in what you claim about how the legal system works.

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Funny how confident people are about accusations until they’re the ones with something to lose.

Get yourself into a high-profile position, with money or power involved, and see how fast an accusation appears when a relationship turns ugly or someone wants leverage. Suddenly “believe all accusations” becomes a lot more complicated.

You don’t have to like Trump to see the pattern: accusations are taken as gospel when they’re convenient, and quietly ignored when they’re not.

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Right. Trump isn’t a convicted rapist; rather, he’s an adjudicated rapist.

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  • Criminal Trial (1995): O.J. Simpson was tried for two counts of first-degree murder. The prosecution had to prove guilt “beyond a reasonable doubt”. The defense raised issues with the handling of evidence and police conduct, which created enough doubt for the jury to find Simpson not guilty.

  • Civil Trial (1997): Ron Goldman’s father, Fred Goldman, and Nicole Brown Simpson’s family sued O.J. Simpson for wrongful death and battery. In a civil trial, the standard of proof is lower: a “preponderance of the evidence” (meaning it is more likely than not that he was responsible). The jury in the civil case unanimously found Simpson liable for the deaths of Ron Goldman and Nicole Brown Simpson.

It would be like claiming - inaccurately- that OJ Simpson was found guilty of murder.

Yet that isn’t what this thread is about. Trump being or not being good for the market doesn’t mean one supports or doesn’t support him. The question is Have his actions or presence been good for the market? Not the economy, the market. The market is at ath.

I’ll go with an obvious yes.

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Who was the last president that didn’t have the market hit an all time high under? I think the answer isn’t nearly as obvious as you think.

Just imagine how high the S&P would have been in 2025 without these stupid trade wars created by Trump

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So what you’re saying is in effect, Trump is doing just fine. Ok, I agree.Charles Payne: This is an excellent sign for the market and the economy | Watch

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Your logic meter still not up to the job, eh?

Did they start releasing the numbers again yet?